EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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Compare EMs
Which comparison is best for me?EM Variables by Variable Role
One quick way to compare ecological models (EMs) is by comparing their variables. Predictor variables show what kinds of influences a model is able to account for, and what kinds of data it requires. Response variables show what information a model is capable of estimating.
This first comparison shows the names (and units) of each EM’s variables, side-by-side, sorted by variable role. Variable roles in ESML are as follows:
- Predictor Variables
- Time- or Space-Varying Variables
- Constants and Parameters
- Intermediate (Computed) Variables
- Response Variables
- Computed Response Variables
- Measured Response Variables
EM Variables by Category
A second way to use variables to compare EMs is by focusing on the kind of information each variable represents. The top-level categories in the ESML Variable Classification Hierarchy are as follows:
- Policy Regarding Use or Management of Ecosystem Resources
- Land Surface (or Water Body Bed) Cover, Use or Substrate
- Human Demographic Data
- Human-Produced Stressor or Enhancer of Ecosystem Goods and Services Production
- Ecosystem Attributes and Potential Supply of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Non-monetary Indicators of Human Demand, Use or Benefit of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Monetary Values
Besides understanding model similarities, sorting the variables for each EM by these 7 categories makes it easier to see if the compared models can be linked using similar variables. For example, if one model estimates an ecosystem attribute (in Category 5), such as water clarity, as a response variable, and a second model uses a similar attribute (also in Category 5) as a predictor of recreational use, the two models can potentially be used in tandem. This comparison makes it easier to spot potential model linkages.
All EM Descriptors
This selection allows a more detailed comparison of EMs by model characteristics other than their variables. The 50-or-so EM descriptors for each model are presented, side-by-side, in the following categories:
- EM Identity and Description
- EM Modeling Approach
- EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
- EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
EM Descriptors by Modeling Concepts
This feature guides the user through the use of the following seven concepts for comparing and selecting EMs:
- Conceptual Model
- Modeling Objective
- Modeling Context
- Potential for Model Linkage
- Feasibility of Model Use
- Model Certainty
- Model Structural Information
Though presented separately, these concepts are interdependent, and information presented under one concept may have relevance to other concepts as well.
EM Identity and Description
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
EM Short Name
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ARIES sediment regulation, Puget Sound Region, USA | InVEST crop pollination, NJ and PA, USA | Pharmaceutical product potential, St. Croix, USVI | REQI (River Ecosystem Quality Index), Italy |
EM Full Name
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ARIES (Artificial Intelligence for Ecosystem Services) Sediment Regulation for Reservoirs, Puget Sound Region, Washington, USA | InVEST crop pollination, New Jersey and Pennsylvania, USA | Relative pharmaceutical product potential (on reef), St. Croix, USVI | REQI (River Ecosystem Quality Index), Marecchia River, Italy |
EM Source or Collection
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ARIES | InVEST | US EPA | None |
EM Source Document ID
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302 | 279 | 335 | 378 |
Document Author
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Bagstad, K.J., Villa, F., Batker, D., Harrison-Cox, J., Voigt, B., and Johnson, G.W. | Lonsdorf, E., Kremen, C., Ricketts, T., Winfree, R., Williams, N., and S. Greenleaf | Yee, S. H., Dittmar, J. A., and L. M. Oliver | Santolini, R, E. Morri, G. Pasini, G. Giovagnoli, C. Morolli, and G. Salmoiraghi |
Document Year
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2014 | 2009 | 2014 | 2014 |
Document Title
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From theoretical to actual ecosystem services: mapping beneficiaries and spatial flows in ecosystem service assessments | Modelling pollination services across agricultural landscapes | Comparison of methods for quantifying reef ecosystem services: A case study mapping services for St. Croix, USVI | Assessing the quality of riparian areas: the case of River Ecosystem Quality Index applied to the Marecchia river (Italy) |
Document Status
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Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published |
Comments on Status
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Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript |
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
http://aries.integratedmodelling.org/ | http://www.naturalcapitalproject.org/models/crop_pollination.html | Not applicable | Not applicable | |
Contact Name
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Ken Bagstad | Eric Lonsdorf | Susan H. Yee | Elisa Morri |
Contact Address
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Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center, US Geological Survey | Conservation and Science Dept, Linclon Park Zoo, 2001 N. Clark St, Chicago, IL 60614, USA | US EPA, Office of Research and Development, NHEERL, Gulf Ecology Division, Gulf Breeze, FL 32561, USA | Dept. of Earth, Life, and Environmental Sciences, Urbino university, via ca le suore, campus scientifico Enrico Mattei, Urbino 61029 Italy |
Contact Email
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kjbagstad@usgs.gov | ericlonsdorf@lpzoo.org | yee.susan@epa.gov | elisa.morri@uniurb.it |
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
Summary Description
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ABSTRACT: "...new modeling approaches that map and quantify service-specific sources (ecosystem capacity to provide a service), sinks (biophysical or anthropogenic features that deplete or alter service flows), users (user locations and level of demand), and spatial flows can provide a more complete understanding of ecosystem services. Through a case study in Puget Sound, Washington State, USA, we quantify and differentiate between the theoretical or in situ provision of services, i.e., ecosystems’ capacity to supply services, and their actual provision when accounting for the location of beneficiaries and the spatial connections that mediate service flows between people and ecosystems... Using the ARtificial Intelligence for Ecosystem Services (ARIES) methodology we map service supply, demand, and flow, extending on simpler approaches used by past studies to map service provision and use." AUTHOR'S NOTE: "We mapped sediment regulation as the location of sediment sinks (depositional areas in floodplains), which can absorb sediment transported by hydrologic flows from upstream sources (erosionprone areas) prior to reaching users. In this case the benefit of avoided sedimentation is provided to 29 major reservoirs. Avoided sedimentation helps maintain the ability of reservoirs to provide benefits including hydroelectric power generation, flood control, recreation, and water supply to beneficiaries through the region. Avoided reservoir sedimentation likely helps to protect each of these benefits in different ways, i.e., increased turbidity or the loss of reservoir storage capacity may have a greater impact on some provision of some benefit types than others. For our purposes we ended the modeling and mapping exercise at the reservoirs. Reservoir sedimentation reduces their storage capacity, typically decreasing their ability to provide these benefits without costly dredging. We thus used a probabilistic Bayesian model of soil erosion incorporating vegetation, soils, and rainfall influences and calibrated using regional data from coarser scale and/or RUSLE derived erosion models (Bagstad et al. 2011). We probabilistically modeled sediment deposition in floodplains using data for floodplain vegetation, floodplain width, and stream gradient, which can influence rates of deposition. We calculated the ratio of actual to theoretical sediment regulation using the aggregated sink values upstream of reservoirs in the Puget Sound region, divided by aggregated theoretical sink values for the entire landscape." | Please note: This ESML entry describes a specific, published application of an InVEST model. Different versions (e.g. different tiers) or more recent versions of this model may be available at the InVEST website. ABSTRACT: "Background and Aims: Crop pollination by bees and other animals is an essential ecosystem service. Ensuring the maintenance of the service requires a full understanding of the contributions of landscape elements to pollinator populations and crop pollination. Here, the first quantitative model that predicts pollinator abundance on a landscape is described and tested. Methods: Using information on pollinator nesting resources, floral resources and foraging distances, the model predicts the relative abundance of pollinators within nesting habitats. From these nesting areas, it then predicts relative abundances of pollinators on the farms requiring pollination services. Model outputs are compared with data from coffee in Costa Rica, watermelon and sunflower in California and watermelon in New Jersey–Pennsylvania (NJPA). Key Results: Results from Costa Rica and California, comparing field estimates of pollinator abundance, richness or services with model estimates, are encouraging, explaining up to 80 % of variance among farms. However, the model did not predict observed pollinator abundances on NJPA, so continued model improvement and testing are necessary. The inability of the model to predict pollinator abundances in the NJPA landscape may be due to not accounting for fine-scale floral and nesting resources within the landscapes surrounding farms, rather than the logic of our model. Conclusions: The importance of fine-scale resources for pollinator service delivery was supported by sensitivity analyses indicating that the model's predictions depend largely on estimates of nesting and floral resources within crops. Despite the need for more research at the finer-scale, the approach fills an important gap by providing quantitative and mechanistic model from which to evaluate policy decisions and develop land-use plans that promote pollination conservation and service delivery." | ABSTRACT: "...We investigated and compared a number of existing methods for quantifying ecological integrity, shoreline protection, recreational opportunities, fisheries production, and the potential for natural products discovery from reefs. Methods were applied to mapping potential ecosystem services production around St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands. Overall, we found that a number of different methods produced similar predictions." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "A number of methods have been developed for linking biophysical attributes of reef condition, such as reef structural complexity, fish biomass, or species richness, to provisioning of ecosystem goods and services (Principe et al., 2012). We investigated the feasibility of using existing methods and data for mapping production of reef ecosystem goods and services. We applied these methods toward mapping potential ecosystem goods and services production in St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI)...For each of the five categories of ecosystem services, we chose a suite of models and indices for estimating potential production based on relative ease of implementation, consisting of well-defined parameters, and likely availability of input data, to maximize potential for transferability to other locations. For each method, we assembled the necessary reef condition and environmental data as spatial data layers for St. Croix (Table1). The coastal zone surrounding St. Croix was divided into 10x10 m grid cells, and production functions were applied to quantify ecosystem services provisioning in each grid cell…When data on sponge diversity is unavailable, benthic habitat coverages may be used to estimate relative magnitudes of sponge diversity and abundance as an indicator of potential pharmaceutical production (Mumby et al., 2008). For each grid cell, we estimated the contribution of coral reefs to potential pharmaceutical production as the overall weighted average of relative magnitudes of contribution across habitat types within that grid cell: Pharmaceutical product potential = ΣiciMi where ci is the fraction of area within each grid cell for each habitat type i (dense, medium dense, or sparse seagrass, mangroves, sand, macroalgae, A. palmata, Montastraea reef, patch reef, and dense or sparse gorgonians), and Mi is the relative magnitude of sponge diversity associated with each habitat." | ABSTRACT: "Riparian areas support a set of river functions and of ecosystem services (ESs). Their role is essential in reducing negative human impacts on river functionality. These aspects could be contained in the River Basin Management Plan, which is the tool for managing and planning freshwater ecosystems in a river basin. In this paper, a new index was developed, namely the River Ecosystem Quality Index (REQI). It is composed of five ecological indices, which assess the quality of riparian areas, and it was first applied to the Marecchia river (central Italy). The REQI was also compared with the Italian River Functionality Index (IFF) and the ESs measured as the capacity of land cover in providing human benefits. Data have shown a decrease in the quality of riparian areas, from the upper to lower part of river, with 53% of all subareas showing medium-quality values…" AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "The evaluation of the quality of the riparian areas is based on the analysis of two fundamental elements of riparian areas: vegetation (characteristics and distribution) and wild birds, measured with standardized methodology and used as indicators of environmental quality and changes...To represent the REQI, each of the five indicators was initially scored with its own range (Figure 3(a)—(e)). Then, all results were redistributed in ranges from 1 to 5, where 5 is the best condition of all indices. Redistributed results were finally summed." |
Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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None identified | None identified | None identified | None identified |
Biophysical Context
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No additional description provided | No additional description provided | No additional description provided | No additional description provided |
EM Scenario Drivers
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No scenarios presented | No scenarios presented | No scenarios presented | No scenarios presented |
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Method + Application | Method + Application | Method + Application | Method + Application |
New or Pre-existing EM?
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New or revised model | New or revised model | Application of existing model | New or revised model |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
Document ID for related EM
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Doc-303 | Doc-305 | Doc-279 | None | None |
EM ID for related EM
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None | EM-340 | EM-338 | None | None |
EM Modeling Approach
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
EM Temporal Extent
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1971-2005 | 2000-2002 | 2006-2007, 2010 |
1996-2003 ?Comment:All the ecological analyses are based on the production of a 1:10,000 scale map of land cover with detailed classes for the vegetation obtained by overlapping the photogrammetric analysis (AIMA flight 1996) and the 2003 land-use map. |
EM Time Dependence
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time-stationary | time-stationary | time-stationary | time-stationary |
EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Time Continuity
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
Bounding Type
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Physiographic or ecological | Other | Physiographic or ecological | Watershed/Catchment/HUC |
Spatial Extent Name
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Puget Sound Region | Central New Jersey and east-central Pennsylvania | Coastal zone surrounding St. Croix | Marecchia river catchment |
Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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10,000-100,000 km^2 | 1000-10,000 km^2. | 100-1000 km^2 | 100-1000 km^2 |
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) |
Spatial Grain Type
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area, for pixel or radial feature | area, for pixel or radial feature | area, for pixel or radial feature | area, for pixel or radial feature |
Spatial Grain Size
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200m x 200m | 30 m x 30 m | 10 m x 10 m | 500 m x 1000 m |
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
EM Computational Approach
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Analytic | Analytic | Analytic | Analytic |
EM Determinism
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deterministic | deterministic | deterministic | deterministic |
Statistical Estimation of EM
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EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
Model Calibration Reported?
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Yes | Unclear | Yes | Not applicable |
Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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No | No | No | Not applicable |
Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None | None | None | None |
Model Operational Validation Reported?
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No |
Yes ?Comment:Aggregate native bee abundance on watermelon flowers was measured at 23 sites in 2005. Species richness was measured using the specimens collected from watermelon flowers at the end of the sampling period. |
Yes |
Yes ?Comment:R2 values of the analysis between the REQI, the capacity of land cover to provide ESs, and the Italian River Functionality Quality Index ? IFF. |
Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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No | No | No | Not applicable |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
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No | No | No | Not applicable |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
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None |
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Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
None | None |
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None |
Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
Centroid Latitude
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48 | 40.2 | 17.73 | 43.89 |
Centroid Longitude
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-123 | -74.8 | -64.77 | 12.3 |
Centroid Datum
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WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 |
Centroid Coordinates Status
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Estimated | Estimated | Estimated | Estimated |
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
EM Environmental Sub-Class
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Rivers and Streams | Lakes and Ponds | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Agroecosystems | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Rivers and Streams | Inland Wetlands | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) |
Specific Environment Type
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Terrestrial environment surrounding a large estuary | Cropland and surrounding landscape | Coral reefs | Riparian zone along major river |
EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale corresponds to the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class |
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
EM ID
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EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
EM Organismal Scale
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Not applicable | Species | Guild or Assemblage |
Species ?Comment:Bird species for faunistic index of conservation. |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
None Available |
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None Available |
EnviroAtlas URL
EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
GAP Ecological Systems, Average Annual Precipitation, Waterbody area | GAP Ecological Systems | None Available | Ecosystem Markets: Imperiled Species and Habitats |
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
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<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.epa.gov/eco-research/national-ecosystem-services-classification-system-nescs-plus">National Ecosystem Services Classification System (NESCS) Plus</a>
(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
EM-327 | EM-339 | EM-465 | EM-657 |
None |
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None |