EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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Compare EMs
Which comparison is best for me?EM Variables by Variable Role
One quick way to compare ecological models (EMs) is by comparing their variables. Predictor variables show what kinds of influences a model is able to account for, and what kinds of data it requires. Response variables show what information a model is capable of estimating.
This first comparison shows the names (and units) of each EM’s variables, side-by-side, sorted by variable role. Variable roles in ESML are as follows:
- Predictor Variables
- Time- or Space-Varying Variables
- Constants and Parameters
- Intermediate (Computed) Variables
- Response Variables
- Computed Response Variables
- Measured Response Variables
EM Variables by Category
A second way to use variables to compare EMs is by focusing on the kind of information each variable represents. The top-level categories in the ESML Variable Classification Hierarchy are as follows:
- Policy Regarding Use or Management of Ecosystem Resources
- Land Surface (or Water Body Bed) Cover, Use or Substrate
- Human Demographic Data
- Human-Produced Stressor or Enhancer of Ecosystem Goods and Services Production
- Ecosystem Attributes and Potential Supply of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Non-monetary Indicators of Human Demand, Use or Benefit of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Monetary Values
Besides understanding model similarities, sorting the variables for each EM by these 7 categories makes it easier to see if the compared models can be linked using similar variables. For example, if one model estimates an ecosystem attribute (in Category 5), such as water clarity, as a response variable, and a second model uses a similar attribute (also in Category 5) as a predictor of recreational use, the two models can potentially be used in tandem. This comparison makes it easier to spot potential model linkages.
All EM Descriptors
This selection allows a more detailed comparison of EMs by model characteristics other than their variables. The 50-or-so EM descriptors for each model are presented, side-by-side, in the following categories:
- EM Identity and Description
- EM Modeling Approach
- EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
- EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
EM Descriptors by Modeling Concepts
This feature guides the user through the use of the following seven concepts for comparing and selecting EMs:
- Conceptual Model
- Modeling Objective
- Modeling Context
- Potential for Model Linkage
- Feasibility of Model Use
- Model Certainty
- Model Structural Information
Though presented separately, these concepts are interdependent, and information presented under one concept may have relevance to other concepts as well.
EM Identity and Description
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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EM Short Name
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Evoland v3.5 (bounded growth), Eugene, OR, USA | Litter biomass production, Central French Alps | Cultural ES and plant traits, Central French Alps | RHyME2, Upper Mississippi River basin, USA | Pharmaceutical product potential, St. Croix, USVI | InVEST fisheries, lobster, South Africa |
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EM Full Name
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Evoland v3.5 (with urban growth boundaries), Eugene, OR, USA | Litter biomass production, Central French Alps | Cultural ecosystem service estimated from plant functional traits, Central French Alps | RHyME2 (Regional Hydrologic Modeling for Environmental Evaluation), Upper Mississippi River basin, USA | Relative pharmaceutical product potential (on reef), St. Croix, USVI | Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs Fisheries, rock lobster, South Africa |
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EM Source or Collection
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Envision | EU Biodiversity Action 5 | EU Biodiversity Action 5 | US EPA | US EPA | InVEST |
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EM Source Document ID
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47 ?Comment:Doc 183 is a secondary source for the Evoland model. |
260 | 260 | 123 | 335 |
349 ?Comment:Supplemented with the InVEST Users Guide fisheries. |
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Document Author
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Guzy, M. R., Smith, C. L. , Bolte, J. P., Hulse, D. W. and Gregory, S. V. | Lavorel, S., Grigulis, K., Lamarque, P., Colace, M-P, Garden, D., Girel, J., Pellet, G., and Douzet, R. | Lavorel, S., Grigulis, K., Lamarque, P., Colace, M-P, Garden, D., Girel, J., Pellet, G., and Douzet, R. | Tran, L. T., O’Neill, R. V., Smith, E. R., Bruins, R. J. F. and Harden, C. | Yee, S. H., Dittmar, J. A., and L. M. Oliver | Ward, Michelle, Hugh Possingham, Johathan R. Rhodes, Peter Mumby |
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Document Year
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2008 | 2011 | 2011 | 2013 | 2014 | 2018 |
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Document Title
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Policy research using agent-based modeling to assess future impacts of urban expansion into farmlands and forests | Using plant functional traits to understand the landscape distribution of multiple ecosystem services | Using plant functional traits to understand the landscape distribution of multiple ecosystem services | Application of hierarchy theory to cross-scale hydrologic modeling of nutrient loads | Comparison of methods for quantifying reef ecosystem services: A case study mapping services for St. Croix, USVI | Food, money and lobsters: Valuing ecosystem services to align environmental management with Sustainable Development Goals |
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Document Status
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Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published |
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Comments on Status
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Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
http://evoland.bioe.orst.edu/ ?Comment:Software is likely available. |
Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | https://www.naturalcapitalproject.org/invest/ | |
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Contact Name
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Michael R. Guzy | Sandra Lavorel | Sandra Lavorel | Liem Tran | Susan H. Yee | Michelle Ward |
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Contact Address
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Oregon State University, Dept. of Biological and Ecological Engineering | Laboratoire d’Ecologie Alpine, UMR 5553 CNRS Université Joseph Fourier, BP 53, 38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France | Laboratoire d’Ecologie Alpine, UMR 5553 CNRS Université Joseph Fourier, BP 53, 38041 Grenoble Cedex 9, France | Department of Geography, University of Tennessee, 1000 Phillip Fulmer Way, Knoxville, TN 37996-0925, USA | US EPA, Office of Research and Development, NHEERL, Gulf Ecology Division, Gulf Breeze, FL 32561, USA | ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD 4072, Australia |
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Contact Email
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Not reported | sandra.lavorel@ujf-grenoble.fr | sandra.lavorel@ujf-grenoble.fr | ltran1@utk.edu | yee.susan@epa.gov | m.ward@uq.edu.au |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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Summary Description
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**Note: A more recent version of this model exists. See Related EMs below for links to related models/applications.** ABSTRACT: "Spatially explicit agent-based models can represent the changes in resilience and ecological services that result from different land-use policies…This type of analysis generates ensembles of alternate plausible representations of future system conditions. User expertise steers interactive, stepwise system exploration toward inductive reasoning about potential changes to the system. In this study, we develop understanding of the potential alternative futures for a social-ecological system by way of successive simulations that test variations in the types and numbers of policies. The model addresses the agricultural-urban interface and the preservation of ecosystem services. The landscape analyzed is at the junction of the McKenzie and Willamette Rivers adjacent to the cities of Eugene and Springfield in Lane County, Oregon." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "Two general scenarios for urban expansion were created to set the bounds on what might be possible for the McKenzie-Willamette study area. One scenario, fish conservation, tried to accommodate urban expansion, but gave the most weight to policies that would produce resilience and ecosystem services to restore threatened fish populations. The other scenario, unconstrained development, reversed the weighting. The 35 policies in the fish conservation scenario are designed to maintain urban growth boundaries (UGB), accommodate human population growth through increased urban densities, promote land conservation through best-conservation practices on agricultural and forest lands, and make rural land-use conversions that benefit fish. In the unconstrained development scenario, 13 policies are mainly concerned with allowing urban expansion in locations desired by landowners. Urban expansion in this scenario was not constrained by the extent of the UGB, and the policies are not intended to create conservation land uses." | ABSTRACT: "Here, we propose a new approach for the analysis, mapping and understanding of multiple ES delivery in landscapes. Spatially explicit single ES models based on plant traits and abiotic characteristics are combined to identify ‘hot’ and ‘cold’ spots of multiple ES delivery, and the land use and biotic determinants of such distributions. We demonstrate the value of this trait-based approach as compared to a pure land-use approach for a pastoral landscape from the central French Alps, and highlight how it improves understanding of ecological constraints to, and opportunities for, the delivery of multiple services. Vegetative height and leaf traits such as leaf dry matter content were response traits strongly influenced by land use and abiotic environment, with follow-on effects on several ecosystem properties (e.g., litter biomass production), and could therefore be used as functional markers of ES." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "Variation in litter biomass production was modelled using…traits community-weighted mean (CWM) and functional divergence (FD) and abiotic variables (continuous variables; trait + abiotic) following Diaz et al. (2007). …The comparison between this model and the land-use alone model identifies the need for site-based information beyond a land use or land cover proxy…Litter biomass production for each pixel was calculated and mapped using model estimates...This step is critically novel as compared to a direct application of the model by Diaz et al. (2007) in that we explicitly modelled the responses of trait community-weighted means and functional divergences to environment prior to evaluating their effects on litter mass. Such an approach is the key to the explicit representation of functional variation across the landscape, as opposed to the use of unique trait values within each land use." | ABSTRACT: "Here, we propose a new approach for the analysis, mapping and understanding of multiple ES delivery in landscapes. Spatially explicit single ES models based on plant traits and abiotic characteristics are combined to identify ‘hot’ and ‘cold’ spots of multiple ES delivery, and the land use and biotic determinants of such distributions. We demonstrate the value of this trait-based approach as compared to a pure land-use approach for a pastoral landscape from the central French Alps, and highlight how it improves understanding of ecological constraints to, and opportunities for, the delivery of multiple services." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "The Cultural ecosystem service map was a simple sum of maps for relevant Ecosystem Properties (produced in related EMs) after scaling to a 0–100 baseline and trimming outliers to the 5–95% quantiles (Venables&Ripley 2002)…Coefficients used for the summing of individual ecosystem properties to cultural ecosystem services were based on stakeholders’ perceptions, given positive or negative contributions." | ABSTRACT: "We describe a framework called Regional Hydrologic Modeling for Environmental Evaluation (RHyME2) for hydrologic modeling across scales. Rooted from hierarchy theory, RHyME2 acknowledges the rate-based hierarchical structure of hydrological systems. Operationally, hierarchical constraints are accounted for and explicitly described in models put together into RHyME2. We illustrate RHyME2with a two-module model to quantify annual nutrient loads in stream networks and watersheds at regional and subregional levels. High values of R2 (>0.95) and the Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (>0.85) and a systematic connection between the two modules show that the hierarchy theory-based RHyME2 framework can be used effectively for developing and connecting hydrologic models to analyze the dynamics of hydrologic systems." Two EMs will be entered in EPF-Library: 1. Regional scale module (Upper Mississippi River Basin) - this entry 2. Subregional scale module (St. Croix River Basin) | ABSTRACT: "...We investigated and compared a number of existing methods for quantifying ecological integrity, shoreline protection, recreational opportunities, fisheries production, and the potential for natural products discovery from reefs. Methods were applied to mapping potential ecosystem services production around St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands. Overall, we found that a number of different methods produced similar predictions." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "A number of methods have been developed for linking biophysical attributes of reef condition, such as reef structural complexity, fish biomass, or species richness, to provisioning of ecosystem goods and services (Principe et al., 2012). We investigated the feasibility of using existing methods and data for mapping production of reef ecosystem goods and services. We applied these methods toward mapping potential ecosystem goods and services production in St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI)...For each of the five categories of ecosystem services, we chose a suite of models and indices for estimating potential production based on relative ease of implementation, consisting of well-defined parameters, and likely availability of input data, to maximize potential for transferability to other locations. For each method, we assembled the necessary reef condition and environmental data as spatial data layers for St. Croix (Table1). The coastal zone surrounding St. Croix was divided into 10x10 m grid cells, and production functions were applied to quantify ecosystem services provisioning in each grid cell…When data on sponge diversity is unavailable, benthic habitat coverages may be used to estimate relative magnitudes of sponge diversity and abundance as an indicator of potential pharmaceutical production (Mumby et al., 2008). For each grid cell, we estimated the contribution of coral reefs to potential pharmaceutical production as the overall weighted average of relative magnitudes of contribution across habitat types within that grid cell: Pharmaceutical product potential = ΣiciMi where ci is the fraction of area within each grid cell for each habitat type i (dense, medium dense, or sparse seagrass, mangroves, sand, macroalgae, A. palmata, Montastraea reef, patch reef, and dense or sparse gorgonians), and Mi is the relative magnitude of sponge diversity associated with each habitat." | AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "Here we develop a method for assessing future scenarios of environmental management change that improve coastal ecosystem services and thereby, support the success of the SDGs. We illustrate application of the method using a case study of South Africa’s West Coast Rock Lobster fishery within the Table Mountain National Park (TMNP) Marine Protected Area...We calculated the retrospective and current value of the West Coast Rock Lobster fishery using published and unpublished data from various sources and combined the market worth of landed lobster from recreational fishers, small-scale fisheries (SSF), large-scale fisheries (LSF) and poachers. Then using the InVEST tool, we combined data to build scenarios that describe possible futures for the West Coast Rock Lobster fishery (see Table 1). The first scenario, entitled ‘Business as Usual’ (BAU), takes the current situation and most up-to-date data to model the future if harvest continues at the existing rate. The second scenario is entitled ‘Redirect the Poachers’ (RP), which attempts to model implementation of strict management, whereby poaching is minimised from the Marine Protected Area and other economic and nutritional sources are made available through government initiatives. The third scenario, entitled ‘Large Scale Cutbacks’ (LSC), excludes large-scale fisheries from harvesting West Coast Rock Lobster within the TMNP Marine Protected Area." |
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Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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Authors Description: " By policy, we mean land management options that span the domains of zoning, agricultural and forest production, environmental protection, and urban development, including the associated regulations, laws, and practices. The policies we used in our SES simulations include urban containment policies…We also used policies modeled on agricultural practices that affect ecoystem services and capital…" | None identified | None identified | Not reported | None identified | Future rock lobster fisheries management |
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Biophysical Context
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No additional description provided | Elevation ranges from 1552 to 2442 m, on predominately south-facing slopes | Elevations ranging from 1552 m to 2442 m, on predominantly south-facing slopes | No additional description provided | No additional description provided | No additional description provided |
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EM Scenario Drivers
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Five scenarios that include urban growth boundaries and various combinations of unconstrainted development, fish conservation, agriculture and forest reserves. ?Comment:Additional alternatives included adding agricultural and forest reserves, and adding or removing urban growth boundaries to the three main scenarios. |
No scenarios presented | No scenarios presented | No scenarios presented | No scenarios presented | Fisheries exploitation; fishing vulnerability (of age classes) |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Method + Application (multiple runs exist) View EM Runs | Method + Application | Method + Application | Method + Application | Method + Application | Method + Application (multiple runs exist) View EM Runs |
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New or Pre-existing EM?
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New or revised model | New or revised model | New or revised model | New or revised model | Application of existing model | Application of existing model |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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Document ID for related EM
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Doc-47 | Doc-313 | Doc-314 ?Comment:Doc 183 is a secondary source for the Evoland model. |
Doc-260 | None | Doc-123 | None | None |
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EM ID for related EM
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EM-333 | EM-369 | EM-65 | EM-68 | EM-69 | EM-70 | EM-71 | EM-79 | EM-80 | EM-81 | EM-82 | EM-83 | EM-65 | EM-66 | EM-68 | EM-69 | EM-70 | EM-71 | EM-79 | EM-80 | EM-82 | EM-83 | None | None | None |
EM Modeling Approach
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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EM Temporal Extent
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1990-2050 | Not reported | Not reported | 1987-1997 | 2006-2007, 2010 | 1986-2115 |
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EM Time Dependence
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time-dependent | time-stationary | time-stationary | time-stationary | time-stationary | time-dependent |
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EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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future time | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | future time |
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EM Time Continuity
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discrete | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | discrete |
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EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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2 | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | 1 |
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EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Year | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Year |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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Bounding Type
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Geopolitical | Physiographic or Ecological | Physiographic or Ecological | Watershed/Catchment/HUC | Physiographic or ecological | Geopolitical |
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Spatial Extent Name
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Junction of McKenzie and Willamette Rivers, adjacent to the cities of Eugene and Springfield, Lane Co., Oregon, USA | Central French Alps | Central French Alps | Upper Mississippi River basin; St. Croix River Watershed | Coastal zone surrounding St. Croix | Table Mountain National Park Marine Protected Area |
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Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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10-100 km^2 | 10-100 km^2 | 10-100 km^2 | 100,000-1,000,000 km^2 | 100-1000 km^2 | 100-1000 km^2 |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) ?Comment:Spatial grain for computations is comprised of 16,005 polygons of various size covering 7091 ha. |
spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially lumped (in all cases) |
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Spatial Grain Type
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area, for pixel or radial feature | area, for pixel or radial feature | area, for pixel or radial feature | NHDplus v1 | area, for pixel or radial feature | Not applicable |
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Spatial Grain Size
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varies | 20 m x 20 m | 20 m x 20 m | NHDplus v1 | 10 m x 10 m | Not applicable |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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EM Computational Approach
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Numeric | Analytic | Analytic | Numeric | Analytic | Numeric |
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EM Determinism
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stochastic | deterministic | deterministic | deterministic | deterministic | deterministic |
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Statistical Estimation of EM
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Comment:Agent based modeling results in response indices. |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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Model Calibration Reported?
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Unclear | No | No | Yes | Yes | No |
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Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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No | Yes | No | Yes | No | No |
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Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None |
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None |
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None | None |
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Model Operational Validation Reported?
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No | Yes | No | No | Yes |
Yes ?Comment:A validation analysis was carried out running the model using data from 1880 to 2001, and then comparing the output for the adult population with the 2001 published data. |
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Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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No | No | No | No | No | No |
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Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
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No ?Comment:Sensitivity analysis performed for agent values only. |
No | No |
No ?Comment:Some model coefficients serve, by their magnitude, to indicate the proportional impact on the final result of variation in the parameters they modify. |
No | No |
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Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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None | None |
Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
| None | None | None | None |
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Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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Centroid Latitude
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44.11 | 45.05 | 45.05 | 42.5 | 17.73 | -34.18 |
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Centroid Longitude
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-123.09 | 6.4 | 6.4 | -90.63 | -64.77 | 18.35 |
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Centroid Datum
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WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 |
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Centroid Coordinates Status
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Estimated | Provided | Provided | Estimated | Estimated | Provided |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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EM Environmental Sub-Class
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Rivers and Streams | Forests | Agroecosystems | Created Greenspace | Agroecosystems | Grasslands | Agroecosystems | Grasslands | Aquatic Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Rivers and Streams | Inland Wetlands | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Agroecosystems | Atmosphere | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine |
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Specific Environment Type
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Agricultural-urban interface at river junction | Subalpine terraces, grasslands, and meadows | Subalpine terraces, grasslands, and meadows. | None | Coral reefs | Rocky coast, mixed coast, sandy coast, rocky inshore, sandy inshore, rocky shelf and unconsolidated shelf |
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EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Not applicable | Ecological scale is coarser than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecosystem | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale corresponds to the Environmental Sub-class |
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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EM Organismal Scale
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Not applicable | Community | Community | Not applicable | Guild or Assemblage | Individual or population, within a species |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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None Available | None Available | None Available |
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EnviroAtlas URL
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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None |
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<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.epa.gov/eco-research/national-ecosystem-services-classification-system-nescs-plus">National Ecosystem Services Classification System (NESCS) Plus</a>
(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
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EM-12 |
EM-66 | EM-81 | EM-91 | EM-465 |
EM-541 |
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None | None | None |
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