EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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: SLAMM (sea level affecting marshes model), Tampa Bay, Florida, USA (EM-863)
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EM Identity and Description
EM Identification (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
EM Short Name
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SLAMM, Tampa Bay, FL, USA | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Full Name
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SLAMM (sea level affecting marshes model), Tampa Bay, Florida, USA | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Source or Collection
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None | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Source Document ID
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415 ?Comment:Secondary sources: Documents 412 and 413. |
* ?Comment:Secondary sources: Documents 412 and 413. |
* ?Comment:Secondary sources: Documents 412 and 413. |
* ?Comment:Secondary sources: Documents 412 and 413. |
* ?Comment:Secondary sources: Documents 412 and 413. |
* ?Comment:Secondary sources: Documents 412 and 413. |
* ?Comment:Secondary sources: Documents 412 and 413. |
* ?Comment:Secondary sources: Documents 412 and 413. |
* ?Comment:Secondary sources: Documents 412 and 413. |
* ?Comment:Secondary sources: Documents 412 and 413. |
Document Author
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Sherwood, E. T. and H. S. Greening | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Document Year
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2014 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Document Title
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Potential impacts and management implications of climate change on Tampa Bay estuary critical coastal habitats | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Document Status
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Peer reviewed and published | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Comments on Status
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Published journal manuscript | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Software and Access (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
http://warrenpinnacle.com/prof/SLAMM/index.html com/prof/SLAMM/index.html | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | |
Contact Name
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Edward T. Sherwood | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Contact Address
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Tampa Bay Estuary Program, 263 13th Avenue South, St. Petersburg, FL 33701, USA | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Contact Email
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esherwood@tbep.org | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Description (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
Summary Description
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ABSTRACT: "The Tampa Bay estuary is a unique and valued ecosystem that currently thrives between subtropical and temperate climates along Florida’s west-central coast. The watershed is considered urbanized (42 % lands developed); however, a suite of critical coastal habitats still persists. Current management efforts are focused toward restoring the historic balance of these habitat types to a benchmark 1950s period. We have modeled the anticipated changes to a suite of habitats within the Tampa Bay estuary using the sea level affecting marshes model (SLAMM) under various sea level rise (SLR) scenarios. Modeled changes to the distribution and coverage of mangrove habitats within the estuary are expected to dominate the overall proportions of future critical coastal habitats. Modeled losses in salt marsh, salt barren, and coastal freshwater wetlands by 2100 will significantly affect the progress achieved in ‘‘Restoring the Balance’’ of these habitat types over recent periods…" | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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None identified | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Biophysical Context
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No additional description provided | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Scenario Drivers
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Varying sea level rise (baseline - 2m), and two habitat adaption strategies | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Relationship to Other EMs or Applications
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Method + Application (multiple runs exist) | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application |
New or Pre-existing EM?
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Application of existing model | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
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EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
Document ID for related EM
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Doc-412 | Doc-413 | Doc-412 | Doc-413 | Doc-412 | Doc-413 | Doc-412 | Doc-413 | Doc-412 | Doc-413 | Doc-412 | Doc-413 | Doc-412 | Doc-413 | Doc-412 | Doc-413 | Doc-412 | Doc-413 | Doc-412 | Doc-413 |
EM ID for related EM
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EM-857 | EM-857 | EM-857 | EM-857 | EM-857 | EM-857 | EM-857 | EM-857 | EM-857 | EM-857 |
EM Modeling Approach
EM Relationship to Time (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
EM Temporal Extent
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2002-2100 | 2002-2012 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Time Dependence
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time-stationary | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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Not applicable | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Time Continuity
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Not applicable | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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Not applicable | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Not applicable | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM spatial extent (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
Bounding Type
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Watershed/Catchment/HUC | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Spatial Extent Name
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Tampa Bay estuary watershed | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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1000-10,000 km^2. | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Spatial Distribution of Computations (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Spatial Grain Type
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area, for pixel or radial feature | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Spatial Grain Size
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10 x 10 m | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Structure and Computation Approach (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
EM Computational Approach
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Analytic | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Determinism
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deterministic | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Statistical Estimation of EM
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* | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Checking Procedures Used (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
Model Calibration Reported?
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No | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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No | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Operational Validation Reported?
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No | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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No | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
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No | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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Not applicable | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Location of EM Application (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
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Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
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Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
Centroid Latitude
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27.76 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Centroid Longitude
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-82.54 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Centroid Datum
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WGS84 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Centroid Coordinates Status
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Estimated | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Environments and Scales Modeled (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
EM Environmental Sub-Class
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Inland Wetlands | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Specific Environment Type
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Esturary and associated urban and terrestrial environment | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Organisms modeled (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
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EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
EM Organismal Scale
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Not applicable | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
None Available | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EnviroAtlas URL
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
National Hydrography Dataset Plus (NHD PlusV2) | National Hydrography Dataset Plus (NHD PlusV2) | National Hydrography Dataset Plus (NHD PlusV2) | National Hydrography Dataset Plus (NHD PlusV2) | National Hydrography Dataset Plus (NHD PlusV2) | National Hydrography Dataset Plus (NHD PlusV2) | National Hydrography Dataset Plus (NHD PlusV2) | National Hydrography Dataset Plus (NHD PlusV2) | National Hydrography Dataset Plus (NHD PlusV2) | National Hydrography Dataset Plus (NHD PlusV2) |
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left
CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
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* | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
None | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Variable Names (and Units)
* Note that for runs, variable name is displayed only where data for that variable differed by run AND those differences were reported in the source document. Where differences occurred but were not reported, the variable is not listed. Click on variable name to view details.
Predictor
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EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
Driving Variables (and Units)
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* | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | |
Constant or Factor Variables (and Units)
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Intermediate
EM ID
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EM-863 | Baseline (year 2007) | Habitats allowed to migrate, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Habitats allowed to migrate, 2.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 0.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.0 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 1.5 SLR by 2100 | Currently developed dry land protected, 2.0 SLR by 2100 |
Intermediate (Computed) Variables (and Units)
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None | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Response
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