EcoService Models Library (ESML)

Document: The impact of climate change on water provision under a low flow regime: A case study of the ecosystems services in the Francoli river basin (Doc-280)

280
Authors
Marques, M., Bangash, R.F., Kumar, V., Sharp, R., and Schuhmacher, M.
Year
2013
Title
The impact of climate change on water provision under a low flow regime: A case study of the ecosystems services in the Francoli river basin
Document Type
Journal Article
Journal
Journal of Hazardous Materials
Pages
224-232
Abstract
Mediterranean basin is considered one of the most vulnerable regions of the world to climate changeand with high probability to face acute water scarcity problem in the coming years. Francolí River basin (NE Spain), located in this vulnerable region is selected as a case study to evaluate the impact of climate change on the delivery of water considering the IPCC scenarios A2 and B1 for the time spans 2011–2040, 2041–2070 and 2071–2100. InVEST model is applied in a low flow river as a new case study, whichreported successful results after its model validation. The studied hydrological ecosystem services willbe highly impacted by climate change at Francolí River basin. Water yield is expected to be reducedbetween 11.5 and 44% while total drinking water provisioning will decrease between 13 and 50% havingadverse consequences on the water quality of the river. Focusing at regional scale, Prades Mountains and Brugent Tributary provide most of the provision of water and also considered highly vulnerable areas to climate change. However, the most vulnerable part is the northern area which has the lowest provision ofwater. Francolí River basin is likely to experience desertification at this area drying Anguera and Vallverd tributaries.
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EM-148
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