EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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Variables Details
: (EM-374)
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EM Identity and Description
EM-374 | |
Document Author
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The Natural Capital Project |
Document Year
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2015 |
Variable General Info
Annual rate of change in the price of carbon ?Comment:Adjusts the value of sequestered carbon as the impact of emissions on expected climate change-related damages changes over time. The default value in the interface is 0% (labeled “The annual rate of change in the price of carbon (%) (optional)” in the tool interface). However, setting this rate greater than 0% suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is less than the value of carbon sequestered now. It has been widely argued that GHG emissions need to be curtailed immediately to avoid crossing a GHG atmospheric concentration threshold that would lead to a 3 degree Celsius or greater change in global average temperature by 2105.Some argue that such a temperature change would lead to major disruptions in economies across the world (Stern et al. 2006). Therefore, any mitigation in GHG emissions that occurs many years from now may have no effect on whether or not this crucial concentration threshold is passed. If this is the case, C sequestration in the far future would be relatively worthless and a carbon discount rate greater than zero is warranted. Alternatively, setting the annual rate of change less than 0% (e.g., -2%) suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is greater than the value of carbon sequestered now (this is a separate issue than the value of money in the future, a dynamic accounted for with the market discount rate). This may be the case if the damages associated with climate change in the future accelerate as the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere increases. This variable is optional. |
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Variable ID
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7615 |
c | |
Qualitative-Quantitative
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Quantitative (Cardinal Only) |
Cardinal-Ordinal
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Cardinal |
% year^-1 |
Variable Typology
Annual rate of change in the price of carbon ?Comment:Adjusts the value of sequestered carbon as the impact of emissions on expected climate change-related damages changes over time. The default value in the interface is 0% (labeled “The annual rate of change in the price of carbon (%) (optional)” in the tool interface). However, setting this rate greater than 0% suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is less than the value of carbon sequestered now. It has been widely argued that GHG emissions need to be curtailed immediately to avoid crossing a GHG atmospheric concentration threshold that would lead to a 3 degree Celsius or greater change in global average temperature by 2105.Some argue that such a temperature change would lead to major disruptions in economies across the world (Stern et al. 2006). Therefore, any mitigation in GHG emissions that occurs many years from now may have no effect on whether or not this crucial concentration threshold is passed. If this is the case, C sequestration in the far future would be relatively worthless and a carbon discount rate greater than zero is warranted. Alternatively, setting the annual rate of change less than 0% (e.g., -2%) suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is greater than the value of carbon sequestered now (this is a separate issue than the value of money in the future, a dynamic accounted for with the market discount rate). This may be the case if the damages associated with climate change in the future accelerate as the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere increases. This variable is optional. |
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Predictor-Intermediate-Response
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Predictor |
Predictor Variable Type
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Constant or Parameter |
Response Variable Type
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Not applicable |
Data Source/Type
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Not applicable |
Variable Classification Hierarchy
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7. Monetary Values |
--Carbon (or carbon abatement) value, price or cost |
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Variable Spatial Characteristics
Annual rate of change in the price of carbon ?Comment:Adjusts the value of sequestered carbon as the impact of emissions on expected climate change-related damages changes over time. The default value in the interface is 0% (labeled “The annual rate of change in the price of carbon (%) (optional)” in the tool interface). However, setting this rate greater than 0% suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is less than the value of carbon sequestered now. It has been widely argued that GHG emissions need to be curtailed immediately to avoid crossing a GHG atmospheric concentration threshold that would lead to a 3 degree Celsius or greater change in global average temperature by 2105.Some argue that such a temperature change would lead to major disruptions in economies across the world (Stern et al. 2006). Therefore, any mitigation in GHG emissions that occurs many years from now may have no effect on whether or not this crucial concentration threshold is passed. If this is the case, C sequestration in the far future would be relatively worthless and a carbon discount rate greater than zero is warranted. Alternatively, setting the annual rate of change less than 0% (e.g., -2%) suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is greater than the value of carbon sequestered now (this is a separate issue than the value of money in the future, a dynamic accounted for with the market discount rate). This may be the case if the damages associated with climate change in the future accelerate as the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere increases. This variable is optional. |
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Spatial Extent Area
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Spatially Distributed?
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Observations Spatially Patterned?
variable.detail.regularSpGrainHelp
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Spatial Grain Type
variable.detail.spGrainTypeHelp
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Spatial Grain Size
variable.detail.spGrainSizeHelp
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Spatial Density
variable.detail.spDensityHelp
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
EnviroAtlas URL
variable.detail.enviroAtlasURLHelp
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Variable Temporal Characteristics
Annual rate of change in the price of carbon ?Comment:Adjusts the value of sequestered carbon as the impact of emissions on expected climate change-related damages changes over time. The default value in the interface is 0% (labeled “The annual rate of change in the price of carbon (%) (optional)” in the tool interface). However, setting this rate greater than 0% suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is less than the value of carbon sequestered now. It has been widely argued that GHG emissions need to be curtailed immediately to avoid crossing a GHG atmospheric concentration threshold that would lead to a 3 degree Celsius or greater change in global average temperature by 2105.Some argue that such a temperature change would lead to major disruptions in economies across the world (Stern et al. 2006). Therefore, any mitigation in GHG emissions that occurs many years from now may have no effect on whether or not this crucial concentration threshold is passed. If this is the case, C sequestration in the far future would be relatively worthless and a carbon discount rate greater than zero is warranted. Alternatively, setting the annual rate of change less than 0% (e.g., -2%) suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is greater than the value of carbon sequestered now (this is a separate issue than the value of money in the future, a dynamic accounted for with the market discount rate). This may be the case if the damages associated with climate change in the future accelerate as the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere increases. This variable is optional. |
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Temporal Extent
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Temporally Distributed?
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Regular Temporal Grain?
variable.detail.regularTempGrainHelp
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Temporal Grain Size Value
variable.detail.tempGrainSizeValHelp
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Temporal Grain Size Units
variable.detail.tempGrainSizeUnitHelp
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Temporal Density
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Variable Values
Annual rate of change in the price of carbon ?Comment:Adjusts the value of sequestered carbon as the impact of emissions on expected climate change-related damages changes over time. The default value in the interface is 0% (labeled “The annual rate of change in the price of carbon (%) (optional)” in the tool interface). However, setting this rate greater than 0% suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is less than the value of carbon sequestered now. It has been widely argued that GHG emissions need to be curtailed immediately to avoid crossing a GHG atmospheric concentration threshold that would lead to a 3 degree Celsius or greater change in global average temperature by 2105.Some argue that such a temperature change would lead to major disruptions in economies across the world (Stern et al. 2006). Therefore, any mitigation in GHG emissions that occurs many years from now may have no effect on whether or not this crucial concentration threshold is passed. If this is the case, C sequestration in the far future would be relatively worthless and a carbon discount rate greater than zero is warranted. Alternatively, setting the annual rate of change less than 0% (e.g., -2%) suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is greater than the value of carbon sequestered now (this is a separate issue than the value of money in the future, a dynamic accounted for with the market discount rate). This may be the case if the damages associated with climate change in the future accelerate as the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere increases. This variable is optional. |
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Not applicable | |
Min Value
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Not applicable |
Max Value
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Not applicable |
Other Value Type
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Not applicable |
Other Value
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Not applicable |
Variable Variability and Sensitivity
Annual rate of change in the price of carbon ?Comment:Adjusts the value of sequestered carbon as the impact of emissions on expected climate change-related damages changes over time. The default value in the interface is 0% (labeled “The annual rate of change in the price of carbon (%) (optional)” in the tool interface). However, setting this rate greater than 0% suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is less than the value of carbon sequestered now. It has been widely argued that GHG emissions need to be curtailed immediately to avoid crossing a GHG atmospheric concentration threshold that would lead to a 3 degree Celsius or greater change in global average temperature by 2105.Some argue that such a temperature change would lead to major disruptions in economies across the world (Stern et al. 2006). Therefore, any mitigation in GHG emissions that occurs many years from now may have no effect on whether or not this crucial concentration threshold is passed. If this is the case, C sequestration in the far future would be relatively worthless and a carbon discount rate greater than zero is warranted. Alternatively, setting the annual rate of change less than 0% (e.g., -2%) suggests that the societal value of carbon sequestered in the future is greater than the value of carbon sequestered now (this is a separate issue than the value of money in the future, a dynamic accounted for with the market discount rate). This may be the case if the damages associated with climate change in the future accelerate as the concentration of GHGs in the atmosphere increases. This variable is optional. |
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Variability Expression Given?
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Variability Metric
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None |
Variability Value
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None |
Variability Units
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None |
Resampling Used?
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Variability Expression Used in Modeling?
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Not recorded for Constant or Factor Variables |
Variable Operational Validation (Response Variables only)
Variable ID
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Validated?
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Validation Approach (within, between, etc.)
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Validation Quality (Qual/Quant)
variable.detail.validationQualityHelp
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Validation Method (Stat/Deviance)
variable.detail.validationMethodHelp
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Validation Metric
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Validation Value
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Validation Units
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Use of Measured Response Data
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