EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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Compare EMs
Which comparison is best for me?EM Variables by Variable Role
One quick way to compare ecological models (EMs) is by comparing their variables. Predictor variables show what kinds of influences a model is able to account for, and what kinds of data it requires. Response variables show what information a model is capable of estimating.
This first comparison shows the names (and units) of each EM’s variables, side-by-side, sorted by variable role. Variable roles in ESML are as follows:
- Predictor Variables
- Time- or Space-Varying Variables
- Constants and Parameters
- Intermediate (Computed) Variables
- Response Variables
- Computed Response Variables
- Measured Response Variables
EM Variables by Category
A second way to use variables to compare EMs is by focusing on the kind of information each variable represents. The top-level categories in the ESML Variable Classification Hierarchy are as follows:
- Policy Regarding Use or Management of Ecosystem Resources
- Land Surface (or Water Body Bed) Cover, Use or Substrate
- Human Demographic Data
- Human-Produced Stressor or Enhancer of Ecosystem Goods and Services Production
- Ecosystem Attributes and Potential Supply of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Non-monetary Indicators of Human Demand, Use or Benefit of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Monetary Values
Besides understanding model similarities, sorting the variables for each EM by these 7 categories makes it easier to see if the compared models can be linked using similar variables. For example, if one model estimates an ecosystem attribute (in Category 5), such as water clarity, as a response variable, and a second model uses a similar attribute (also in Category 5) as a predictor of recreational use, the two models can potentially be used in tandem. This comparison makes it easier to spot potential model linkages.
All EM Descriptors
This selection allows a more detailed comparison of EMs by model characteristics other than their variables. The 50-or-so EM descriptors for each model are presented, side-by-side, in the following categories:
- EM Identity and Description
- EM Modeling Approach
- EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
- EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
EM Descriptors by Modeling Concepts
This feature guides the user through the use of the following seven concepts for comparing and selecting EMs:
- Conceptual Model
- Modeling Objective
- Modeling Context
- Potential for Model Linkage
- Feasibility of Model Use
- Model Certainty
- Model Structural Information
Though presented separately, these concepts are interdependent, and information presented under one concept may have relevance to other concepts as well.
EM Identity and Description
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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EM Short Name
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Natural amenities and population migration, USA | WESP: Marsh & wet meadow, ID, USA |
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EM Full Name
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Natural amenities and rural population migration, USA | WESP: Seasonally flooded marsh & wet meadow, Idaho, USA |
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EM Source or Collection
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USDA Forest Service | None |
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EM Source Document ID
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375 |
393 ?Comment:Additional data came from electronic appendix provided by author Chris Murphy. |
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Document Author
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Cordell H. K., V. Heboyan, F. Santos, J. C. Bergstrom | Murphy, C. and T. Weekley |
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Document Year
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2011 | 2012 |
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Document Title
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Natural amenities and rural population migration | Measuring outcomes of wetland restoration, enhancement, and creation in Idaho-- Assessing potential functions, values, and condition in a watershed context. |
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Document Status
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Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published |
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Comments on Status
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Published report | Published report |
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
| Not applicable | Not applicable | |
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Contact Name
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Ken Cordell | Chris Murphy |
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Contact Address
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U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station, Athens, GA 30602 | Idaho Dept. Fish and Game, Wildlife Bureau, Habitat Section, Boise, ID |
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Contact Email
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Not reported | chris.murphy@idfg.idaho.gov |
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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Summary Description
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ABSTRACT: "Research suggests that significant relationships exist between rural population change and natural amenities. Thus, understanding and predicting domestic migration trends as a function of changes in natural amenities is important for effective regional growth and development policies and strategies. In this study, we first estimated an econometric model which showed the effects of natural amenities, such as climate and landscape variables, on rural population migration patterns in the United States between 1990 and 2007. The estimated model was then used to predict the effects of changes in these variables on rural county net migration and population growth to 2060 under alternative future climate and land use projections. Results suggest that people prefer rural areas with mild winters and cooler summers; thus we can expect a direct impact of climate change on population migration when areas associated with these conditions change. Results also suggest preference for varied landscapes that feature a mix of forest land and open space (e g , pasture and range land). During the projection period from 2010 to 2060 in the United States, changes in natural amenities were predicted to have positive effects on rural population migration trends in most parts of the Intermountain and Pacific Northwest regions, and some parts of the Southeastern, South Central, and Northeastern U S regions (e g , Southern Appalachian Mountains, Ozark Mountains, northern New England). Changes in natural amenities were predicted to have negative effects on rural population migration trends during the projection period in Midwestern regions (e g , Great Plains and North Central regions)." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "This model was estimated for 2,014 rural counties in the continental United States using various national data bases and sources. The estimated model was then used to predict the effects of changes in these variables on rural county net migration and population growth to 2060 under alternative future climate and land use projections." | A wetland restoration monitoring and assessment program framework was developed for Idaho. The project goal was to assess outcomes of substantial governmental and private investment in wetland restoration, enhancement and creation. The functions, values, condition, and vegetation at restored, enhanced, and created wetlands on private and state lands across Idaho were retrospectively evaluated. Assessment was conducted at multiple spatial scales and intensities. Potential functions and values (ecosystem services) were rapidly assessed using the Oregon Rapid Wetland Assessment Protocol. Vegetation samples were analyzed using Floristic Quality Assessment indices from Washington State. We compared vegetation of restored, enhanced, and created wetlands with reference wetlands that occurred in similar hydrogeomorphic environments determined at the HUC 12 level. |
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Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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None identified | None identified |
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Biophysical Context
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No additional description provided | restored, enhanced and created wetlands |
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EM Scenario Drivers
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Climate projections based on the CGCM 3 1 general circulation model of moderate warming (IPCC). The A1B scenario assumes a growing world population that peaks in the mid-century and balanced technological growth. | Sites, function or habitat focus |
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Method + Application | Method + Application (multiple runs exist) View EM Runs |
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New or Pre-existing EM?
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New or revised model | New or revised model |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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Document ID for related EM
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None | Doc-390 |
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EM ID for related EM
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None | EM-718 | EM-734 | EM-743 |
EM Modeling Approach
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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EM Temporal Extent
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1982-2060 | 2010-2012 |
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EM Time Dependence
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time-dependent | time-dependent |
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EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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future time | past time |
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EM Time Continuity
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discrete | Not applicable |
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EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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1 | Not applicable |
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EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Year | Not applicable |
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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Bounding Type
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Geopolitical | Multiple unrelated locations (e.g., meta-analysis) |
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Spatial Extent Name
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continental United States | Wetlands in idaho |
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Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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>1,000,000 km^2 | 100,000-1,000,000 km^2 |
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially lumped (in all cases) |
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Spatial Grain Type
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map scale, for cartographic feature | Not applicable |
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Spatial Grain Size
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varies | Not applicable |
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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EM Computational Approach
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Numeric | Numeric |
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EM Determinism
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deterministic | deterministic |
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Statistical Estimation of EM
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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Model Calibration Reported?
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Yes | No |
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Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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No | No |
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Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None | None |
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Model Operational Validation Reported?
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No | No |
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Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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No | No |
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Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
em.detail.sensAnalysisHelp
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No | No |
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Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
| EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
| EM-653 |
EM-760 |
| None | None |
Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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Centroid Latitude
em.detail.ddLatHelp
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39.8 | 44.06 |
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Centroid Longitude
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-98.55 | -114.69 |
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Centroid Datum
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WGS84 | WGS84 |
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Centroid Coordinates Status
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Estimated | Estimated |
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EM ID
em.detail.idHelp
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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EM Environmental Sub-Class
em.detail.emEnvironmentalSubclassHelp
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Rivers and Streams | Inland Wetlands | Lakes and Ponds | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Forests | Agroecosystems | Grasslands | Scrubland/Shrubland | Barren | Inland Wetlands |
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Specific Environment Type
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Terrestrial environments including water bodies and coastlines | created, restored and enhanced wetlands |
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EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale corresponds to the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class |
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
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EM ID
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EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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EM Organismal Scale
em.detail.orgScaleHelp
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Not applicable | Not applicable |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
| EM-653 |
EM-760 |
| None Available | None Available |
EnviroAtlas URL
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
| EM-653 |
EM-760 |
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<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.epa.gov/eco-research/national-ecosystem-services-classification-system-nescs-plus">National Ecosystem Services Classification System (NESCS) Plus</a>
(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
| EM-653 |
EM-760 |
| None | None |
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