EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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EM: Land-use change effects on recreation, Europe (EM-171)
EM Identity and Description
EM Identification
EM ID
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EM-171 |
EM Short Name
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Land-use change and recreation, Europe |
EM Full Name
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Land-use change effects on recreation, Europe |
EM Source or Collection
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EU Biodiversity Action 5 |
EM Source Document ID
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228 |
Document Author
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Haines-Young, R., Potschin, M. and Kienast, F. |
Document Year
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2012 |
Document Title
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Indicators of ecosystem service potential at European scales: Mapping marginal changes and trade-offs |
Document Status
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Peer reviewed and published |
Comments on Status
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Published journal manuscript |
Software and Access
Not applicable | |
Contact Name
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Marion Potschin |
Contact Address
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Centre for Environmental Management, School of Geography, University of Nottingham, NG7 2RD, United Kingdom |
Contact Email
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marion.potschin@nottingham.ac.uk |
EM Description
Summary Description
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ABSTRACT: "The study focuses on the EU-25 plus Switzerland and Norway, and develops the methodology proposed by Kienast et al. (2009), which uses expert-and literature-driven modelling methods. The novel aspect of this work is an analysis of whether the historical and the projected land use changes for the periods 1990–2000, 2000–2006, and 2000–2030 are likely to be supportive or degenerative in the capacity of ecosystems to deliver (Recreation); we refer to these as ‘marginal’ or incremental changes. The latter are assessed by using land account data for 1990–2000 and 2000–2006 (LEAC, EEA, 2006) and EURURALIS 2.0 land use scenarios for 2000–2030. The results are reported at three spatial reporting units, i.e. (1) the NUTS-X regions, (2) the bioclimatic regions, and (3) the dominant landscape types." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: " 'Recreation' is broadly defined as all areas where landscape properties are favourable for active recreation purposes….The historic assessment of marginal changes was undertaken using the Land and Ecosystem Accounting database (LEAC) created by the EEA using successive CORINE Land Cover data. The analysis of these incremental changes was included in the study in order to examine whether recent trend data could add additional insights to spatial assessment techniques, particularly where change against some base-line status is of interest to decision makers…The futures component of the work was based on EURURALIS 2.0 land use scenarios for 2000–2030, which are based on the four IPCC SRES land use scenarios." |
Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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None identified |
Biophysical Context
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No additional description provided |
EM Scenario Drivers
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Land-use change from 2000-2030 |
EM Relationship to Other EMs or Applications
Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application |
New or Pre-existing EM?
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Run-Land-use change 2000-2030 |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
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Document ID for related EM
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Doc-238 | Doc-239 | Doc-240 | Doc-241 | Doc-242 | Doc-228 |
EM ID for related EM
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EM-162 | EM-164 | EM-165 | EM-122 | EM-123 | EM-124 | EM-125 | EM-166 | EM-170 | EM-99 | EM-119 | EM-120 | EM-121 |
EM Modeling Approach
EM Relationship to Time
EM Temporal Extent
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2000-2030 |
EM Time Dependence
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time-stationary |
EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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Not applicable |
EM Time Continuity
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Not applicable |
EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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Not applicable |
EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Not applicable |
EM Spatial Extent
Bounding Type
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Geopolitical |
Spatial Extent Name
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The EU-25 plus Switzerland and Norway |
Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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>1,000,000 km^2 |
Spatial Distribution of Computations
EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) |
Spatial Grain Type
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area, for pixel or radial feature |
Spatial Grain Size
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1 km x 1 km |
EM Structure and Computation Approach
EM Computational Approach
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Logic- or rule-based |
EM Determinism
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deterministic |
Statistical Estimation of EM
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Model Checking Procedures Used
Model Calibration Reported?
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No |
Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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No |
Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None |
Model Operational Validation Reported?
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No |
Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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No |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
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No |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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Not applicable |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Location of EM Application
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
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Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
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None |
Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
Centroid Latitude
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48 |
Centroid Longitude
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-14 |
Centroid Datum
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WGS84 |
Centroid Coordinates Status
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Estimated |
Environments and Scales Modeled
EM Environmental Sub-Class
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Aquatic Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) |
Specific Environment Type
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Not applicable |
EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class |
Scale and taxa of organisms modeled
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
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EM Organismal Scale
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Not applicable |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
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None Available |
EnviroAtlas URL
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None Available |
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
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(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
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EM Variable Names (and Units)
Predictor
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Driving Variables (and Units)
view details (2 variables)
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Constant or Factor Variables (and Units)
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* |
Intermediate
Intermediate (Computed) Variables (and Units)
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* |
Response
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Observed Response Variables (and Units)
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* |
Computed Response Variables (and Units)
view details (2 variables)
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