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: FORCLIM (FORests in a changing CLIMate) v2.9, Santiam watershed, OR, USA (EM-208)
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EM Identity and Description
EM Identification (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
EM Short Name
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FORCLIM v2.9, Santiam watershed, OR, USA | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Full Name
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FORCLIM (FORests in a changing CLIMate) v2.9, Santiam watershed, OR, USA | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Source or Collection
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US EPA | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Source Document ID
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23 ?Comment:Related document ID 22 is a secondary source providing tree species specific parameters in appendix. |
* | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Document Author
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Busing, R. T., Solomon, A. M., McKane, R. B. and Burdick, C. A. | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Document Year
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2007 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Document Title
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Forest dynamics in Oregon landscapes: evaluation and application of an individual-based model | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Document Status
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Peer reviewed and published | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Comments on Status
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Published journal manuscript | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Software and Access (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
Not applicable | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | |
Contact Name
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Richard T. Busing | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Contact Address
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U.S. Geological Survey, 200 SW 35th Street, Corvallis, Oregon 97333 USA | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Contact Email
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rtbusing@aol.com | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Description (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
Summary Description
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ABSTRACT: "The FORCLIM model of forest dynamics was tested against field survey data for its ability to simulate basal area and composition of old forests across broad climatic gradients in western Oregon, USA. The model was also tested for its ability to capture successional trends in ecoregions of the west Cascade Range. It was then applied to simulate present and future (1990-2050) forest landscape dynamics of a watershed in the west Cascades. Various regimes of climate change and harvesting in the watershed were considered in the landscape application." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "Effects of different management histories on the landscape were incorporated using the land management (conservation, plan, or development trend) and forest age categories…the plan trend was an intermediate alternative, representing the continuation of current policies and trends, whereas the conservation and development trends were possible alternatives…Non-forested areas were given a forest age of zero; forested areas were assigned to one of eight forest age classes: >0-20 yr, 21-40 yr, 41-60 yr, 61-80 yr, 81-200 yr, 201-400 yr, and >600 yr in 1990…two climate change scenarios were used, representing lower and upper extremes projected by a set of global climate models: (1) minor warming with drier summers, and (2) major warming with wetter conditions…For the first scenario, temperature was increased by 0.5°C in 2025 and by 1.5°C in 2045. Precipitation from October to March was increased 2% in 2025 and decreased 2% in 2045. Precipitation from April to September was decreased 4% in 2025 and 7% in 2045. For the second scenario, temperature was by increased 2.6°C in 2025 and by 3.2°C in 2045. Precipitation from October to March was increased 18% in 2025 and 22% in 2045. Precipitation from April to September was increased 14% in 2025 and 9% in 2045. | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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None identified | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Biophysical Context
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No additional description provided | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Scenario Drivers
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Land Management (3); Climate Change (3) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Relationship to Other EMs or Applications
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Method + Application (multiple runs exist) ?Comment:Runs differentiated by scenario combination. |
Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application |
New or Pre-existing EM?
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Application of existing model | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
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EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
Document ID for related EM
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Doc-22 | Doc-23 ?Comment:Related document ID 22 is a secondary source providing tree species specific parameters in appendix. |
Doc-138 | Doc-139 | Doc-181 | Doc-22 | Doc-138 | Doc-139 | Doc-181 | Doc-22 | Doc-138 | Doc-139 | Doc-181 | Doc-22 | Doc-138 | Doc-139 | Doc-181 | Doc-22 | Doc-138 | Doc-139 | Doc-181 | Doc-22 | Doc-138 | Doc-139 | Doc-181 | Doc-22 | Doc-138 | Doc-139 | Doc-181 | Doc-22 | Doc-138 | Doc-139 | Doc-181 | Doc-22 | Doc-138 | Doc-139 | Doc-181 | Doc-22 | Doc-138 | Doc-139 | Doc-181 | Doc-22 |
EM ID for related EM
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EM-146 | EM-186 | EM-224 | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
EM Modeling Approach
EM Relationship to Time (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
EM Temporal Extent
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1990-2050 | 1990 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Time Dependence
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time-dependent | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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future time | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Time Continuity
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discrete | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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1 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Year | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM spatial extent (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
Bounding Type
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Watershed/Catchment/HUC | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Spatial Extent Name
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South Santiam watershed | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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100-1000 km^2 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Spatial Distribution of Computations (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Spatial Grain Type
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area, for pixel or radial feature | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Spatial Grain Size
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0.08 ha | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Structure and Computation Approach (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
EM Computational Approach
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Numeric | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Determinism
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deterministic | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Statistical Estimation of EM
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* | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Checking Procedures Used (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
Model Calibration Reported?
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No | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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No | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Operational Validation Reported?
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No | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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No | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
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No | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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N/A | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Location of EM Application (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
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Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
None | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
Centroid Latitude
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44.24 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Centroid Longitude
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-122.24 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Centroid Datum
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None provided | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 |
Centroid Coordinates Status
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Provided | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Environments and Scales Modeled (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
EM Environmental Sub-Class
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Forests | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Specific Environment Type
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primarily Conifer Forest | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Organisms modeled (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
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EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
EM Organismal Scale
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Species | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
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EnviroAtlas URL
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
GAP Ecological Systems, Average Annual Precipitation | None Available | None Available | None Available | None Available | None Available | None Available | None Available | None Available | None Available | None Available |
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left
CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
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(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
None | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
EM Variable Names (and Units)
* Note that for runs, variable name is displayed only where data for that variable differed by run AND those differences were reported in the source document. Where differences occurred but were not reported, the variable is not listed. Click on variable name to view details.
Predictor
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Intermediate
EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
Intermediate (Computed) Variables (and Units)
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None | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Response
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EM ID
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EM-208 | Run-1990 yr landscape | Run-2050 yr landscp, no climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, min climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscp, maj climate change, conservation trend | Run-2050 yr landscap- plan trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, plan trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, plan trend, major climate change | Run-2050 yr landscape, development trend, no climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, dev trend, minor climate change | Run-2050 yr landscp, devlpmt trend, major climate change |
Observed Response Variables (and Units)
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None | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * |
Computed Response Variables (and Units)
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