EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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Compare EMs
Which comparison is best for me?EM Variables by Variable Role
One quick way to compare ecological models (EMs) is by comparing their variables. Predictor variables show what kinds of influences a model is able to account for, and what kinds of data it requires. Response variables show what information a model is capable of estimating.
This first comparison shows the names (and units) of each EM’s variables, side-by-side, sorted by variable role. Variable roles in ESML are as follows:
- Predictor Variables
- Time- or Space-Varying Variables
- Constants and Parameters
- Intermediate (Computed) Variables
- Response Variables
- Computed Response Variables
- Measured Response Variables
EM Variables by Category
A second way to use variables to compare EMs is by focusing on the kind of information each variable represents. The top-level categories in the ESML Variable Classification Hierarchy are as follows:
- Policy Regarding Use or Management of Ecosystem Resources
- Land Surface (or Water Body Bed) Cover, Use or Substrate
- Human Demographic Data
- Human-Produced Stressor or Enhancer of Ecosystem Goods and Services Production
- Ecosystem Attributes and Potential Supply of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Non-monetary Indicators of Human Demand, Use or Benefit of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Monetary Values
Besides understanding model similarities, sorting the variables for each EM by these 7 categories makes it easier to see if the compared models can be linked using similar variables. For example, if one model estimates an ecosystem attribute (in Category 5), such as water clarity, as a response variable, and a second model uses a similar attribute (also in Category 5) as a predictor of recreational use, the two models can potentially be used in tandem. This comparison makes it easier to spot potential model linkages.
All EM Descriptors
This selection allows a more detailed comparison of EMs by model characteristics other than their variables. The 50-or-so EM descriptors for each model are presented, side-by-side, in the following categories:
- EM Identity and Description
- EM Modeling Approach
- EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
- EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
EM Descriptors by Modeling Concepts
This feature guides the user through the use of the following seven concepts for comparing and selecting EMs:
- Conceptual Model
- Modeling Objective
- Modeling Context
- Potential for Model Linkage
- Feasibility of Model Use
- Model Certainty
- Model Structural Information
Though presented separately, these concepts are interdependent, and information presented under one concept may have relevance to other concepts as well.
EM Identity and Description
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM Short Name
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AnnAGNPS, Kaskaskia River watershed, IL, USA | FORCLIM v2.9, West Cascades, OR, USA |
EM Full Name
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AnnAGNPS (Annualized Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollution Model), Kaskaskia River watershed, IL, USA | FORCLIM (FORests in a changing CLIMate) v2.9, West Cascades, OR, USA |
EM Source or Collection
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US EPA | US EPA |
EM Source Document ID
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137 |
23 ?Comment:Related document ID 22 is a secondary source providing tree species specific parameters in appendix. |
Document Author
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Yuan, Y., Mehaffey, M. H., Lopez, R. D., Bingner, R. L., Bruins, R., Erickson, C. and Jackson, M. | Busing, R. T., Solomon, A. M., McKane, R. B. and Burdick, C. A. |
Document Year
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2011 | 2007 |
Document Title
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AnnAGNPS model application for nitrogen loading assessment for the Future Midwest Landscape study | Forest dynamics in Oregon landscapes: evaluation and application of an individual-based model |
Document Status
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Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published |
Comments on Status
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Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript |
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
https://www.ars.usda.gov/southeast-area/oxford-ms/national-sedimentation-laboratory/watershed-physical-processes-research/docs/annagnps-pollutant-loading-model/ | Not applicable | |
Contact Name
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Yongping Yuan | Richard T. Busing |
Contact Address
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U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Research and Development, Environmental Sciences Division, 944 East Harmon Ave., Las Vegas, NV 89119, USA | U.S. Geological Survey, 200 SW 35th Street, Corvallis, Oregon 97333 USA |
Contact Email
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yuan.yongping@epa.gov | rtbusing@aol.com |
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
Summary Description
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AUTHORS' DESCRIPTION: "AnnAGNPS is an advanced simulation model developed by the USDA-ARS and Natural Resource Conservation Services (NRCS) to help evaluate watershed response to agricultural management practices. It is a continuous simulation, daily time step, pollutant loading model designed to simulate water, sediment and chemical movement from agricultural watersheds.p. 198" | ABSTRACT: "The FORCLIM model of forest dynamics was tested against field survey data for its ability to simulate basal area and composition of old forests across broad climatic gradients in western Oregon, USA. The model was also tested for its ability to capture successional trends in ecoregions of the west Cascade Range…The simulation of both stand-replacing and partial-stand disturbances across western Oregon improved agreement between simulated and actual data." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "An analysis of forest successional dynamics was performed on ecoregions 4a and 4b, which cover the south Santiam watershed area selected for intensive study. In each of these two ecoregions, a set of 20 simulated sites was compared to survey plot data summaries. Survey data were analysed by stand age class and simulations of corresponding ages. The statistical methods described…were applied in comparison of actual with simulated forest composition and total basal area by age class. Separate simulations were run with and without fire." |
Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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Not reported | None Identified |
Biophysical Context
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Upper Mississipi River basin, elevation 142-194m, | West Cascade lowlands (4a), and west Cascade montane (4b) ecoregions |
EM Scenario Drivers
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Alternative agricultural land use (type and crop management (fertilizer application) towards a future biofuel target | Two scenarios modelled, forests with and without fire |
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Method + Application |
Method + Application (multiple runs exist) View EM Runs ?Comment:Related document ID 22 is a secondary source providing tree species specific parameters in appendix. |
New or Pre-existing EM?
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New or revised model | Application of existing model |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
Document ID for related EM
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Doc-142 | Doc-22 | Doc-23 |
EM ID for related EM
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None | EM-146 | EM-208 | EM-186 |
EM Modeling Approach
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM Temporal Extent
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1980-2006 | >650 yrs |
EM Time Dependence
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time-stationary | time-dependent |
EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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Not applicable | past time |
EM Time Continuity
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Not applicable | discrete |
EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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Not applicable | 1 |
EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Not applicable | Year |
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
Bounding Type
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Watershed/Catchment/HUC | Physiographic or ecological |
Spatial Extent Name
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East Fork Kaskaskia River watershed basin | West Cascades, Oregon |
Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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100-1000 km^2 | 100-1000 km^2 |
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) |
Spatial Grain Type
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length, for linear feature (e.g., stream mile) | area, for pixel or radial feature |
Spatial Grain Size
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1 km^2 | 0.08 ha |
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM Computational Approach
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Numeric | Numeric |
EM Determinism
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deterministic | deterministic |
Statistical Estimation of EM
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EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
Model Calibration Reported?
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No | No |
Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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No | No |
Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None | None |
Model Operational Validation Reported?
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Yes | Yes |
Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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Yes | No |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
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Unclear | No |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
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Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
None | None |
Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
Centroid Latitude
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38.69 | 44.24 |
Centroid Longitude
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-89.1 | -122.24 |
Centroid Datum
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WGS84 | WGS84 |
Centroid Coordinates Status
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Provided | Estimated |
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM Environmental Sub-Class
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Agroecosystems | Forests |
Specific Environment Type
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Row crop agriculture in Kaskaskia river basin | Primarily conifer forest |
EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale corresponds to the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class |
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
EM ID
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EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM Organismal Scale
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Not applicable | Species |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
None Available |
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EnviroAtlas URL
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
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<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.epa.gov/eco-research/national-ecosystem-services-classification-system-nescs-plus">National Ecosystem Services Classification System (NESCS) Plus</a>
(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
EM-97 |
EM-224 ![]() |
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None |