EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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Compare EMs
Which comparison is best for me?EM Variables by Variable Role
One quick way to compare ecological models (EMs) is by comparing their variables. Predictor variables show what kinds of influences a model is able to account for, and what kinds of data it requires. Response variables show what information a model is capable of estimating.
This first comparison shows the names (and units) of each EM’s variables, side-by-side, sorted by variable role. Variable roles in ESML are as follows:
- Predictor Variables
- Time- or Space-Varying Variables
- Constants and Parameters
- Intermediate (Computed) Variables
- Response Variables
- Computed Response Variables
- Measured Response Variables
EM Variables by Category
A second way to use variables to compare EMs is by focusing on the kind of information each variable represents. The top-level categories in the ESML Variable Classification Hierarchy are as follows:
- Policy Regarding Use or Management of Ecosystem Resources
- Land Surface (or Water Body Bed) Cover, Use or Substrate
- Human Demographic Data
- Human-Produced Stressor or Enhancer of Ecosystem Goods and Services Production
- Ecosystem Attributes and Potential Supply of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Non-monetary Indicators of Human Demand, Use or Benefit of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Monetary Values
Besides understanding model similarities, sorting the variables for each EM by these 7 categories makes it easier to see if the compared models can be linked using similar variables. For example, if one model estimates an ecosystem attribute (in Category 5), such as water clarity, as a response variable, and a second model uses a similar attribute (also in Category 5) as a predictor of recreational use, the two models can potentially be used in tandem. This comparison makes it easier to spot potential model linkages.
All EM Descriptors
This selection allows a more detailed comparison of EMs by model characteristics other than their variables. The 50-or-so EM descriptors for each model are presented, side-by-side, in the following categories:
- EM Identity and Description
- EM Modeling Approach
- EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
- EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
EM Descriptors by Modeling Concepts
This feature guides the user through the use of the following seven concepts for comparing and selecting EMs:
- Conceptual Model
- Modeling Objective
- Modeling Context
- Potential for Model Linkage
- Feasibility of Model Use
- Model Certainty
- Model Structural Information
Though presented separately, these concepts are interdependent, and information presented under one concept may have relevance to other concepts as well.
EM Identity and Description
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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EM Short Name
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Cultural ecosystem services, Bilbao, Spain | Coral taxa and land development, St.Croix, VI, USA | Evoland v3.5 (unbounded growth), Eugene, OR, USA | Chinook salmon value (household), Yaquina Bay, OR | Specific conductivity, USA |
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EM Full Name
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Cultural ecosystem services, Bilbao, Spain | Coral taxa richness and land development, St.Croix, Virgin Islands, USA | Evoland v3.5 (without urban growth boundaries), Eugene, OR, USA | Economic value of Chinook salmon per household method, Yaquina Bay, OR | Specific Conductivity, USA |
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EM Source or Collection
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None ?Comment:EU Mapping Studies |
US EPA | Envision | US EPA | US EPA |
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EM Source Document ID
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191 | 96 |
47 ?Comment:Doc 183 is a secondary source for the Evoland model. |
324 | 460 |
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Document Author
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Casado-Arzuaga, I., Onaindia, M., Madariaga, I. and Verburg P. H. | Oliver, L. M., Lehrter, J. C. and Fisher, W. S. | Guzy, M. R., Smith, C. L. , Bolte, J. P., Hulse, D. W. and Gregory, S. V. | Stephen J. Jordan, Timothy O'Higgins and John A. Dittmar | Olson, J.R., and S.M. Cormier |
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Document Year
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2013 | 2011 | 2008 | 2012 | 2019 |
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Document Title
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Mapping recreation and aesthetic value of ecosystems in the Bilbao Metropolitan Greenbelt (northern Spain) to support landscape planning | Relating landscape development intensity to coral reef condition in the watersheds of St. Croix, US Virgin Islands | Policy research using agent-based modeling to assess future impacts of urban expansion into farmlands and forests | Ecosystem Services of Coastal Habitats and Fisheries: Multiscale Ecological and Economic Models in Support of Ecosystem-Based Management | Modeling Spatial and Temporal Variation in Natural Background Specific Conductivity |
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Document Status
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Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published |
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Comments on Status
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Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript |
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
| Not applicable | Not applicable | http://evoland.bioe.orst.edu/ | Not applicable | (https://edg.epa.gov/ metadata/catalog/main/home.page) | |
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Contact Name
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Izaskun Casado-Arzuaga | Leah Oliver | Michael R. Guzy | Stephen Jordan | John Olson |
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Contact Address
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Plant Biology and Ecology Department, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU, Campus de Leioa, Barrio Sarriena s/n, 48940 Leioa, Bizkaia, Spain | National Health and Environmental Research Effects Laboratory | Oregon State University, Dept. of Biological and Ecological Engineering | U.S. EPA, Gulf Ecology Div., 1 Sabine Island Dr., Gulf Breeze, FL 32561, USA | California State Univ. Monterey Bay, 100 Campus Center, Seaside CA 93955 |
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Contact Email
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izaskun.casado@ehu.es | leah.oliver@epa.gov | Not reported | jordan.steve@epa.gov | joolson@csumb.edu |
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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Summary Description
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ABSTRACT "This paper presents a method to quantify cultural ecosystem services (ES) and their spatial distribution in the landscape based on ecological structure and social evaluation approaches. The method aims to provide quantified assessments of ES to support land use planning decisions. A GIS-based approach was used to estimate and map the provision of recreation and aesthetic services supplied by ecosystems in a peri-urban area located in the Basque Country, northern Spain. Data of two different public participation processes (frequency of visits to 25 different sites within the study area and aesthetic value of different landscape units) were used to validate the maps. Three maps were obtained as results: a map showing the provision of recreation services, an aesthetic value map and a map of the correspondences and differences between both services. The data obtained in the participation processes were found useful for the validation of the maps. A weak spatial correlation was found between aesthetic quality and recreation provision services, with an overlap of the highest values for both services only in 7.2 % of the area. A consultation with decision-makers indicated that the results were considered useful to identify areas that can be targeted for improvement of landscape and recreation management." | AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "In this exploratory comparison, stony coral condition was related to watershed LULC and LDI values. We also compared the capacity of other potential human activity indicators to predict coral reef condition using multivariate analysis." (294) | **Note: A more recent version of this model exists. See Related EMs below for links to related models/applications.** ABSTRACT: "Spatially explicit agent-based models can represent the changes in resilience and ecological services that result from different land-use policies…This type of analysis generates ensembles of alternate plausible representations of future system conditions. User expertise steers interactive, stepwise system exploration toward inductive reasoning about potential changes to the system. In this study, we develop understanding of the potential alternative futures for a social-ecological system by way of successive simulations that test variations in the types and numbers of policies. The model addresses the agricultural-urban interface and the preservation of ecosystem services. The landscape analyzed is at the junction of the McKenzie and Willamette Rivers adjacent to the cities of Eugene and Springfield in Lane County, Oregon." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "Two general scenarios for urban expansion were created to set the bounds on what might be possible for the McKenzie-Willamette study area. One scenario, fish conservation, tried to accommodate urban expansion, but gave the most weight to policies that would produce resilience and ecosystem services to restore threatened fish populations. The other scenario, unconstrained development, reversed the weighting. The 35 policies in the fish conservation scenario are designed to maintain urban growth boundaries (UGB), accommodate human population growth through increased urban densities, promote land conservation through best-conservation practices on agricultural and forest lands, and make rural land-use conversions that benefit fish. In the unconstrained development scenario, 13 policies are mainly concerned with allowing urban expansion in locations desired by landowners. Urban expansion in this scenario was not constrained by the extent of the UGB, and the policies are not intended to create conservation land uses." | ABSTRACT:"Critical habitats for fish and wildlife are often small patches in landscapes, e.g., aquatic vegetation beds, reefs, isolated ponds and wetlands, remnant old-growth forests, etc., yet the same animal populations that depend on these patches for reproduction or survival can be extensive, ranging over large regions, even continents or major ocean basins. Whereas the ecological production functions that support these populations can be measured only at fine geographic scales and over brief periods of time, the ecosystem services (benefits that ecosystems convey to humans by supporting food production, water and air purification, recreational, esthetic, and cultural amenities, etc.) are delivered over extensive scales of space and time. These scale mismatches are particularly important for quantifying the economic values of ecosystem services. Examples can be seen in fish, shellfish, game, and bird populations. Moreover, there can be wide-scale mismatches in management regimes, e.g., coastal fisheries management versus habitat management in the coastal zone. We present concepts and case studies linking the production functions (contributions to recruitment) of critical habitats to commercial and recreational fishery values by combining site specific research data with spatial analysis and population models. We present examples illustrating various spatial scales of analysis, with indicators of economic value, for recreational Chinook (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) salmon fisheries in the U.S. Pacific Northwest (Washington and Oregon) and commercial blue crab (Callinectes sapidus) and penaeid shrimp fisheries in the Gulf of Mexico. | We developed a random forest model that predicts natural background specific conductivity (SC), a measure of total dissolved ions, for all stream segments in the contiguous United States at monthly time steps between the years 2001 to 2015. Models were trained using 11 796 observations made at 1785 minimally impaired stream segments and validated with observations from an additional 92 segments. Static predictors of SC included geology, soils, and vegetation parameters. Temporal predictors were related to climate and enabled the model to make predictions for different dates. The model explained 95% of the variation in SC among validation observations (mean absolute error = 29 μS/cm, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency = 0.85). The model performed well across the period of interest but exhibited bias in Coastal Plain and Xeric regions (26 and 30%, respectively). National model predictions showed large spatial variation with the greatest SC predicted to occur in the desert southwest and plains. Model predictions also reflected changes at individual streams during drought. |
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Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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Land management, ecosystem management, response to EU 2020 Biodiversity Strategy | Not applicable | Authors Description: " By policy, we mean land management options that span the domains of zoning, agricultural and forest production, environmental protection, and urban development, including the associated regulations, laws, and practices. The policies we used in our SES simulations include urban containment policies…We also used policies modeled on agricultural practices that affect ecoystem services and capital…" | None identified | N/A |
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Biophysical Context
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Northern Spain; Bizkaia region | nearshore; <1.5 km offshore; <12 m depth | No additional description provided | Yaquina Bay estuary | Stream segment taken from StreamCat database |
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EM Scenario Drivers
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No scenarios presented | Not applicable | Three scenarios without urban growth boundaries, and with various combinations of unconstrainted development, fish conservation, and agriculture and forest reserves. | No scenarios presented | N/A |
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Method + Application | Method + Application | Method + Application (multiple runs exist) View EM Runs | Method + Application | Method + Application |
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New or Pre-existing EM?
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New or revised model | New or revised model | New or revised model | New or revised model | New or revised model |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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Document ID for related EM
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None | None |
Doc-183 | Doc-47 | Doc-313 | Doc-314 ?Comment:Doc 183 is a secondary source for the Evoland model. |
Doc-324 | None |
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EM ID for related EM
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None | None | EM-12 | EM-369 | EM-603 | EM-397 | None |
EM Modeling Approach
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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EM Temporal Extent
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2000 - 2007 | 2006-2007 | 1990-2050 | 2003-2008 | 2001-2015 |
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EM Time Dependence
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time-stationary | time-stationary | time-dependent | time-stationary | time-dependent |
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EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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Not applicable | Not applicable | future time | Not applicable | past time |
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EM Time Continuity
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Not applicable | Not applicable | discrete | Not applicable | discrete |
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EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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Not applicable | Not applicable | 2 | Not applicable | 3 |
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EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Year | Not applicable | Month |
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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Bounding Type
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Geopolitical | Physiographic or Ecological | Geopolitical | Geopolitical | Geopolitical |
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Spatial Extent Name
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Bilbao Metropolitan Greenbelt | St.Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands | Junction of McKenzie and Willamette Rivers, adjacent to the cities of Eugene and Springfield, Lane Co., Oregon, USA | Pacific Northwest | Contiguous United States |
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Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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100-1000 km^2 | 10-100 km^2 | 10-100 km^2 | >1,000,000 km^2 | >1,000,000 km^2 |
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially lumped (in all cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially lumped (in all cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) |
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Spatial Grain Type
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area, for pixel or radial feature | Not applicable | area, for pixel or radial feature | Not applicable | area, for pixel or radial feature |
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Spatial Grain Size
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2 m x 2 m | Not applicable | varies | Not applicable | 3.1 km2 |
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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EM Computational Approach
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Analytic | Analytic | Numeric | Analytic | Analytic |
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EM Determinism
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deterministic | deterministic | stochastic | deterministic | deterministic |
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Statistical Estimation of EM
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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Model Calibration Reported?
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No | Yes | Unclear | No | Yes |
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Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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No | Yes | No | No | Yes |
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Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None |
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None | None |
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Model Operational Validation Reported?
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Yes | No | No | Yes | Yes |
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Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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No | Yes | No | No | No |
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Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
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No | No | No | No | Yes |
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Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Yes |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
| EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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None |
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Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
| EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
| None |
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None |
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None |
Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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Centroid Latitude
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43.25 | 17.75 | 44.11 | 44.62 | 39.83 |
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Centroid Longitude
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-2.92 | -64.75 | -123.09 | -124.02 | 98.58 |
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Centroid Datum
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WGS84 | NAD83 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 |
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Centroid Coordinates Status
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Provided | Estimated | Estimated | Estimated | Estimated |
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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EM Environmental Sub-Class
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Aquatic Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Rivers and Streams | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Forests | Agroecosystems | Created Greenspace | Grasslands | Scrubland/Shrubland | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Rivers and Streams | Forests | Agroecosystems | Created Greenspace | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Rivers and Streams |
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Specific Environment Type
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none | stony coral reef | Agricultural-urban interface at river junction | Yaquina Bay estuary and ocean | Stream segment |
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EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class |
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
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EM ID
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EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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EM Organismal Scale
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Not applicable | Guild or Assemblage | Not applicable | Other (multiple scales) | Not applicable |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
| EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
| None Available |
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None Available |
EnviroAtlas URL
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
| EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.epa.gov/eco-research/national-ecosystem-services-classification-system-nescs-plus">National Ecosystem Services Classification System (NESCS) Plus</a>
(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
| EM-193 | EM-260 |
EM-333 |
EM-604 | EM-982 |
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