EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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Compare EMs
Which comparison is best for me?EM Variables by Variable Role
One quick way to compare ecological models (EMs) is by comparing their variables. Predictor variables show what kinds of influences a model is able to account for, and what kinds of data it requires. Response variables show what information a model is capable of estimating.
This first comparison shows the names (and units) of each EM’s variables, side-by-side, sorted by variable role. Variable roles in ESML are as follows:
- Predictor Variables
- Time- or Space-Varying Variables
- Constants and Parameters
- Intermediate (Computed) Variables
- Response Variables
- Computed Response Variables
- Measured Response Variables
EM Variables by Category
A second way to use variables to compare EMs is by focusing on the kind of information each variable represents. The top-level categories in the ESML Variable Classification Hierarchy are as follows:
- Policy Regarding Use or Management of Ecosystem Resources
- Land Surface (or Water Body Bed) Cover, Use or Substrate
- Human Demographic Data
- Human-Produced Stressor or Enhancer of Ecosystem Goods and Services Production
- Ecosystem Attributes and Potential Supply of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Non-monetary Indicators of Human Demand, Use or Benefit of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Monetary Values
Besides understanding model similarities, sorting the variables for each EM by these 7 categories makes it easier to see if the compared models can be linked using similar variables. For example, if one model estimates an ecosystem attribute (in Category 5), such as water clarity, as a response variable, and a second model uses a similar attribute (also in Category 5) as a predictor of recreational use, the two models can potentially be used in tandem. This comparison makes it easier to spot potential model linkages.
All EM Descriptors
This selection allows a more detailed comparison of EMs by model characteristics other than their variables. The 50-or-so EM descriptors for each model are presented, side-by-side, in the following categories:
- EM Identity and Description
- EM Modeling Approach
- EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
- EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
EM Descriptors by Modeling Concepts
This feature guides the user through the use of the following seven concepts for comparing and selecting EMs:
- Conceptual Model
- Modeling Objective
- Modeling Context
- Potential for Model Linkage
- Feasibility of Model Use
- Model Certainty
- Model Structural Information
Though presented separately, these concepts are interdependent, and information presented under one concept may have relevance to other concepts as well.
EM Identity and Description
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
EM Short Name
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C Sequestration and De-N, Tampa Bay, FL, USA | FORCLIM v2.9, West Cascades, OR, USA | Coral taxa and land development, St.Croix, VI, USA | SAV occurrence, St. Louis River, MN/WI, USA | C sequestration in grassland restoration, England | CAESAR landscape evolution model |
EM Full Name
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Value of Carbon Sequestration and Denitrification benefits, Tampa Bay, FL, USA | FORCLIM (FORests in a changing CLIMate) v2.9, West Cascades, OR, USA | Coral taxa richness and land development, St.Croix, Virgin Islands, USA | Predicting submerged aquatic vegetation occurrence, St. Louis River Estuary, MN & WI, USA | Carbon sequestration in grassland diversity restoration, England | Embedding reach-scale fluvial dynamics within the CAESAR cellular automaton landscape evolution model |
EM Source or Collection
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US EPA | US EPA | US EPA | US EPA | None | None |
EM Source Document ID
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186 |
23 ?Comment:Related document ID 22 is a secondary source providing tree species specific parameters in appendix. |
96 | 330 | 396 | 468 |
Document Author
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Russell, M. and Greening, H. | Busing, R. T., Solomon, A. M., McKane, R. B. and Burdick, C. A. | Oliver, L. M., Lehrter, J. C. and Fisher, W. S. | Ted R. Angradi, Mark S. Pearson, David W. Bolgrien, Brent J. Bellinger, Matthew A. Starry, Carol Reschke | De Deyn, G. B., R. S. Shiel, N. J. Ostle, N. P. McNamara, S. Oakley, I. Young, C. Freeman, N. Fenner, H. Quirk, and R. D. Bardgett | Van De Wiel, M. J., Coulthard, T. J., Macklin, M. G., & Lewin, J. |
Document Year
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2013 | 2007 | 2011 | 2013 | 2011 | 2007 |
Document Title
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Estimating benefits in a recovering estuary: Tampa Bay, Florida | Forest dynamics in Oregon landscapes: evaluation and application of an individual-based model | Relating landscape development intensity to coral reef condition in the watersheds of St. Croix, US Virgin Islands | Predicting submerged aquatic vegetation cover and occurrence in a Lake Superior estuary | Additional carbon sequestration benefits of grassland diversity restoration | Embedding reach-scale fluvial dynamics within the CAESAR cellular automaton landscape evolution model |
Document Status
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Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published |
Comments on Status
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Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript |
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | http://www.coulthard.org.uk/ | |
Contact Name
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M. Russell | Richard T. Busing | Leah Oliver | Ted R. Angradi | Gerlinde B. De Deyn | Marco J. Van De Wiel |
Contact Address
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US EPA, Gulf Ecology Division, 1 Sabine Island Dr, Gulf Breeze, FL 32563, USA | U.S. Geological Survey, 200 SW 35th Street, Corvallis, Oregon 97333 USA | National Health and Environmental Research Effects Laboratory | U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, National Health and Environmental Effects Research Laboratory, Mid-Continent Ecology Division, 6201 Congdon Blvd., Duluth, MN 55804, USA | Dept. of Terrestrial Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, P O Box 40, 6666 ZG Heteren, The Netherlands | Department of Geography, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada |
Contact Email
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Russell.Marc@epamail.epa.gov | rtbusing@aol.com | leah.oliver@epa.gov | angradi.theodore@epa.gov | g.dedeyn@nioo.knaw.nl; gerlindede@gmail.com | mvandew3@uwo.ca |
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
Summary Description
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AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "...we examine the change in the production of ecosystem goods produced as a result of restoration efforts and potential relative cost savings for the Tampa Bay community from seagrass expansion (more than 3,100 ha) and coastal marsh and mangrove restoration (∼600 ha), since 1990… The objectives of this article are to explore the roles that ecological processes and resulting ecosystem goods have in maintaining healthy estuarine systems by (1) quantifying the production of specific ecosystem goods in a subtropical estuarine system and (2) determining potential cost savings of improved water quality and increased habitat in a recovering estuary." (pp. 2) | ABSTRACT: "The FORCLIM model of forest dynamics was tested against field survey data for its ability to simulate basal area and composition of old forests across broad climatic gradients in western Oregon, USA. The model was also tested for its ability to capture successional trends in ecoregions of the west Cascade Range…The simulation of both stand-replacing and partial-stand disturbances across western Oregon improved agreement between simulated and actual data." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "An analysis of forest successional dynamics was performed on ecoregions 4a and 4b, which cover the south Santiam watershed area selected for intensive study. In each of these two ecoregions, a set of 20 simulated sites was compared to survey plot data summaries. Survey data were analysed by stand age class and simulations of corresponding ages. The statistical methods described…were applied in comparison of actual with simulated forest composition and total basal area by age class. Separate simulations were run with and without fire." | AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "In this exploratory comparison, stony coral condition was related to watershed LULC and LDI values. We also compared the capacity of other potential human activity indicators to predict coral reef condition using multivariate analysis." (294) | ABSTRACT: “Submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV) provides the biophysical basis for multiple ecosystem services in Great Lakes estuaries. Understanding sources of variation in SAV is necessary for sustainable management of SAV habitat. From data collected using hydroacoustic survey methods, we created predictive models for SAV in the St. Louis River Estuary (SLRE) of western Lake Superior. The dominant SAV species in most areas of the estuary was American wild celery (Vallisneria americana Michx.)…” AUTHOR’S DESCRIPTION: “The SLRE is a Great Lakes “rivermouth” ecosystem as defined by Larson et al. (2013). The 5000-ha estuary forms a section of the state border between Duluth, Minnesota and Superior, Wisconsin…In the SLRE, SAV beds are often patchy, turbidity varies considerably among areas (DeVore, 1978) and over time, and the growing season is short. Given these conditions, hydroacoustic survey methods were the best option for generating the extensive, high resolution data needed for modeling. From late July through mid September in 2011, we surveyed SAV in Allouez Bay, part of Superior Bay, eastern half of St. Louis Bay, and Spirit Lake…We used the measured SAV percent cover at the location immediately previous to each useable record location along each transect as a lag variable to correct for possible serial autocorrelation of model error. SAV percent cover, substrate parameters, corrected depth, and exposure and bed slope data were combined in Arc-GIS...We created logistic regression models for each area of the SLRE to predict the probability of SAV being present at each report location. We created models for the training data set using the Logistic procedure in SAS v.9.1 with step wise elimination (?=0.05). Plots of cover by depth for selected predictor values (Supplementary Information Appendix C) suggested that interactions between depth and other predictors were likely to be significant, and so were included in regression models. We retained the main effect if their interaction terms were significant in the model. We examined the performance of the models using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. AUROC is the probability of concordance between random pairs of observations and ranges from 0.5 to 1 (Gönen, 2006). We cross-validated logistic occurrence models for their ability to classify correctly locations in the validation (holdout) dataset and in the Superior Bay dataset… Model performance, as indicated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was >0.8 (Table 3). Assessed accuracy of models (the percent of records where the predicted probability of occurrence and actual SAV presence or absence agreed) for split datasets was 79% for Allouez Bay, 86% for St. Louis Bay, and 78% for Spirit Lake." | ABSTRACT: "A major aim of European agri-environment policy is the management of grassland for botanical diversity conservation and restoration, together with the delivery of ecosystem services including soil carbon (C) sequestration. To test whether management for biodiversity restoration has additional benefits for soil C sequestration, we investigated C and nitrogen (N) accumulation rates in soil and C and N pools in vegetation in a long-term field experiment (16 years) in which fertilizer application and plant seeding were manipulated. In addition, the abundance of the legume Trifolium pratense was manipulated for the last 2 years. To unravel the mechanisms underlying changes in soil C and N pools, we also tested for effects of diversity restoration management on soil structure, ecosystem respiration and soil enzyme activities…" AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "Measurements were made on 36 plots of 3 x 3 m comprising two management treatments (and their controls) in a long-term multifactorial grassland restoration experiment which have successfully increased plant species diversity, namely the cessation of NPK fertilizer application and the addition of seed mixtures…" | We introduce a new computational model designed to simulate and investigate reach-scale alluvial dynamics within a landscape evolution model. The model is based on the cellular automaton concept, whereby the continued iteration of a series of local process ‘rules’ governs the behaviour of the entire system. The model is a modified version of the CAESAR landscape evolution model, which applies a suite of physically based rules to simulate the entrainment, transport and deposition of sediments. The CAESAR model has been altered to improve the representation of hydraulic and geomorphic processes in an alluvial environment. In-channel and overbank flow, sediment entrainment and deposition, suspended load and bed load transport, lateral erosion and bank failure have all been represented as local cellular automaton rules. Although these rules are relatively simple and straightforward, their combined and repeatedly iterated effect is such that complex, non-linear geomorphological response can be simulated within the model. Examples of such larger-scale, emergent responses include channel incision and aggradation, terrace formation, channel migration and river meandering, formation of meander cutoffs, and transitions between braided and single-thread channel patterns. In the current study, the model is illustrated on a reach of the River Teifi, near Lampeter, Wales, UK. |
Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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Restoration of seagrass | None Identified | Not applicable | None identified | None identified | None identified |
Biophysical Context
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Recovering estuary; Seagrass; Coastal fringe; Saltwater marsh; Mangrove | West Cascade lowlands (4a), and west Cascade montane (4b) ecoregions | nearshore; <1.5 km offshore; <12 m depth | submerged aquatic vegetation | Lolium perenne-Cynosorus cristatus grassland; The soil is a shallow brown-earth (average depth 28 cm) over limestone of moderate-high residual fertility. | River Teifi, Lampeter, Wales |
EM Scenario Drivers
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Habitat loss or restoration in Tampa Bay Estuary | Two scenarios modelled, forests with and without fire | Not applicable | No scenarios presented | Additional benefits due to biodiversity restoration practices | Varying flow velocities and durations |
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Method + Application |
Method + Application (multiple runs exist) View EM Runs ?Comment:Related document ID 22 is a secondary source providing tree species specific parameters in appendix. |
Method + Application | Method + Application | Method + Application (multiple runs exist) View EM Runs | Method Only |
New or Pre-existing EM?
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New or revised model | Application of existing model | New or revised model | New or revised model | New or revised model | New or revised model |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
Document ID for related EM
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None | Doc-22 | Doc-23 | None | None | None | Doc-467 |
EM ID for related EM
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None | EM-146 | EM-208 | EM-186 | None | None | None | EM-997 |
EM Modeling Approach
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
EM Temporal Extent
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1982-2010 | >650 yrs | 2006-2007 | 2010 - 2012 | 1990-2007 | Not applicable |
EM Time Dependence
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time-stationary | time-dependent | time-stationary | time-stationary | time-stationary | time-dependent |
EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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Not applicable | past time | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Time Continuity
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Not applicable | discrete | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | continuous |
EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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Not applicable | 1 | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Not applicable | Year | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
Bounding Type
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Physiographic or Ecological | Physiographic or ecological | Physiographic or Ecological | Physiographic or ecological | Other | Watershed/Catchment/HUC |
Spatial Extent Name
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Tampa Bay Estuary | West Cascades, Oregon | St.Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands | St. Louis River Estuary | Colt Park meadows, Ingleborough National Nature Reserve, northern England | River Teifi |
Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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1000-10,000 km^2. | 100-1000 km^2 | 10-100 km^2 | 10-100 km^2 | <1 ha | 1000-10,000 km^2. |
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially lumped (in all cases) |
spatially distributed (in at least some cases) ?Comment:BH: Each individual transect?s data was parceled into location reports, and that each report?s ?quadrat? area was dependent upon the angle of the hydroacoustic sampling beam. The spatial grain is 0.07 m^2, 0.20 m^2 and 0.70 m^2 for depths of 1 meter, 2 meters and 3 meters, respectively. |
spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially lumped (in all cases) |
Spatial Grain Type
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area, for pixel or radial feature | area, for pixel or radial feature | Not applicable | area, for pixel or radial feature | area, for pixel or radial feature | Not applicable |
Spatial Grain Size
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1 ha | 0.08 ha | Not applicable | 0.07 m^2 to 0.70 m^2 | 3 m x 3 m | Not applicable |
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
EM Computational Approach
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Analytic | Numeric | Analytic | Analytic | Analytic | Analytic |
EM Determinism
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deterministic | deterministic | deterministic | deterministic | stochastic | deterministic |
Statistical Estimation of EM
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EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
Model Calibration Reported?
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Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Not applicable | Not applicable |
Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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No | No | Yes | Yes | Not applicable | Not applicable |
Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None | None |
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None | None |
Model Operational Validation Reported?
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No | Yes | No | Yes | No | Not applicable |
Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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No | No | Yes | No | No | Not applicable |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
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No | No | No | No | No | Not applicable |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
None |
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None |
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Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
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None |
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None | None | None |
Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
Centroid Latitude
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27.95 | 44.24 | 17.75 | 46.72 | 54.2 | 52.04 |
Centroid Longitude
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-82.47 | -122.24 | -64.75 | -96.13 | -2.35 | -4.39 |
Centroid Datum
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WGS84 | WGS84 | NAD83 | WGS84 | WGS84 | WGS84 |
Centroid Coordinates Status
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Estimated | Estimated | Estimated | Estimated | Provided | Estimated |
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
EM Environmental Sub-Class
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Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Forests | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Aquatic Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Rivers and Streams | Inland Wetlands | Lakes and Ponds | Agroecosystems | Grasslands | Rivers and Streams |
Specific Environment Type
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Subtropical Estuary | Primarily conifer forest | stony coral reef | Freshwater estuarine system | fertilized grassland (historically hayed) | River |
EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale corresponds to the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale corresponds to the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale corresponds to the Environmental Sub-class |
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
EM ID
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EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
EM Organismal Scale
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Not applicable | Species | Guild or Assemblage | Not applicable | Community | Not applicable |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
None Available |
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None Available | None Available | None Available |
EnviroAtlas URL
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
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<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.epa.gov/eco-research/national-ecosystem-services-classification-system-nescs-plus">National Ecosystem Services Classification System (NESCS) Plus</a>
(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
EM-195 |
EM-224 ![]() |
EM-260 | EM-414 |
EM-735 ![]() |
EM-998 |
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None |
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None | None |
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