EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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: Envision, Puget Sound, WA, USA (EM-369)
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EM Identity and Description
EM Identification (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
EM Short Name
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Envision, Puget Sound, WA, USA | * | * | * |
EM Full Name
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Envision, Puget Sound, WA, USA | * | * | * |
EM Source or Collection
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Envision | * | * | * |
EM Source Document ID
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313 ?Comment:Doc 314 is a secondary source. It is a webpage guide intended to provide support for developing an application using ENVISION. |
* ?Comment:Doc 314 is an additional source for this EM. |
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Document Author
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Bolte, J. and Vache, K. | * | * | * |
Document Year
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2010 | * | * | * |
Document Title
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Envisioning Puget Sound Alternative Futures: PSNERP Final Report | * | * | * |
Document Status
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Documentation is peer-reviewed and published | * | * | * |
Comments on Status
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Published report | * | * | * |
Software and Access (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
http://envision.bioe.orst.edu | * | * | * | |
Contact Name
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John Bolte ?Comment:Phone# 541-737-2041 |
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Contact Address
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Oregon State University, Dept. of Biological & Ecological Engineering, 116C Gilmore Hall, Corvallis, OR 97333 | * | * | * |
Contact Email
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boltej@engr.orst.edu | * | * | * |
EM Description (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
Summary Description
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SUMMARY: "...the Puget Sound Nearshore Ecosystem Restoration Project, completed an analysis of alternative future regional trajectories of landscape change for the Puget Sound region. This effort developed three scenarios of change: 1) Status Quo, reflecting a continuation of current trends in the region, 2) Managed Growth, reflecting the adoption of an aggressive set of land use management policies focusing on protecting and restoring ecosystem function and concentrating growth within Urban Growth Areas (UGA) and near regional growth centers, and 3) Unmanaged Growth, reflecting a relaxation of land use restrictions with limited protection of ecosystem functions. Analyses assumed a fixed population growth rate across all three scenarios, defined by the Washington Office of Financial Management county level growth estimates. Scenarios were generated using a spatially- and temporally-explicit alternative futures analysis model, Envision, previously developed by Oregon State University researchers. The model accepts as input a vector-based representation of the landscape and associated datasets describing relevant landscape characteristics, descriptors of various processes influencing landscape change, and a set of policies, or decision alternatives, which reflect scenario-specific land management alternatives. The model generates 1) a set of spatial coverages (maps) reflecting scenario outcomes of a variety of landscape variables, most notably land use/land cover, shoreline modifications, and population projections, and 2) a set of summary statistics describing landscape change variables summarized across spatial reporting units. Analyses were run on each of such sub-basins in the Puget Sound, and aggregated to providing Sound-wide results. This information is being used by PSNERP to project future impairment of ecosystem functions, goods, and services. The Puget Sound Nearshore Ecosystem project data also provide inputs to calculate aspects of future nearshore process degradation. Impairment and degradation are primary factors being used to define future conditions for the PSNERP General Investigation Study." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "In this report, we document the application of an alternative futures analysis framework that incorporates these capabilities to the analysis of alternative future trajectories in the Puget Sound region. This framework, Envision (Bolte et al, 2007; Hulse et al. 2008) is a spatially and temporally explicit, standards-based, open source toolset specifically designed to facilitate alternative futures analyses. It employs a multiagent-based modeling approach that contains a robust capability for defining alternative management strategies and scenarios, incorporating a variety of landscape change processes, and creating maps of alternative landscape trajectories, expressed though a variety of metrics defined in an application-specific way." ABOUT ENVISION (ENVISION WEBSITE): "Central to Envision, and conceived at the s | * | * | * |
Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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None identified | * | * | * |
Biophysical Context
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No additional description provided | * | * | * |
EM Scenario Drivers
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Alternative future land management strategies (status quo, managed growth, unmanaged growth) | * | * | * |
EM Relationship to Other EMs or Applications
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Method + Application (multiple runs exist) | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application | Model Run Associated with a Specific EM Application |
New or Pre-existing EM?
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Application of existing model | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
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EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
Document ID for related EM
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Doc-314 | Doc-47 ?Comment:Doc 314 is a secondary source. It is a webpage guide intended to provide support for developing an application using ENVISION. |
Doc-314 | Doc-314 | Doc-314 |
EM ID for related EM
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EM-12 | EM-333 | None | None | None |
EM Modeling Approach
EM Relationship to Time (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
EM Temporal Extent
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2000-2060 | * | * | * |
EM Time Dependence
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time-dependent | * | * | * |
EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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future time | * | * | * |
EM Time Continuity
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discrete | * | * | * |
EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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1 | * | * | * |
EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Year | * | * | * |
EM spatial extent (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
Bounding Type
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Watershed/Catchment/HUC | * | * | * |
Spatial Extent Name
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Puget Sound watershed | * | * | * |
Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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10,000-100,000 km^2 | * | * | * |
Spatial Distribution of Computations (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | * | * | * |
Spatial Grain Type
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Irregular | * | * | * |
Spatial Grain Size
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Varies | * | * | * |
EM Structure and Computation Approach (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
EM Computational Approach
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Numeric | * | * | * |
EM Determinism
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deterministic | * | * | * |
Statistical Estimation of EM
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Model Checking Procedures Used (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
Model Calibration Reported?
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Unclear | * | * | * |
Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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Not applicable | * | * | * |
Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None | * | * | * |
Model Operational Validation Reported?
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Not applicable | * | * | * |
Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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Not applicable | * | * | * |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
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Not applicable | * | * | * |
Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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Not applicable | * | * | * |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Location of EM Application (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
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Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
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Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
Centroid Latitude
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47.58 | * | * | * |
Centroid Longitude
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-122.32 | * | * | * |
Centroid Datum
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WGS84 | * | * | * |
Centroid Coordinates Status
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Estimated | * | * | * |
Environments and Scales Modeled (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
EM Environmental Sub-Class
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Aquatic Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Near Coastal Marine and Estuarine | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | * | * | * |
Specific Environment Type
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Pacific NW US region, coastal to montane, urban to rural | * | * | * |
EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | * | * | * |
Organisms modeled (* Note that run information is shown only where run data differ from the "parent" entry shown at left)
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
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EM ID
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
EM Organismal Scale
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Not applicable | * | * | * |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
None Available | * | * | * |
EnviroAtlas URL
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
Dasymetric Allocation of Population, GAP Ecological Systems, Stream Length, Percent GAP Status 1 & 2, Acres of Land Enrolled in the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP), The Watershed Boundary Dataset (WBD), Percent Impervious Area | None Available | None Available | None Available |
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
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CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
None | * | * | * |
(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
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EM-369 | Model Run for: Status quo future land management strategy | Model Run for: Unmanaged growth future land management strategy | Model Run for: Managed growth future land management strategy |
None | * | * | * |
EM Variable Names (and Units)
* Note that for runs, variable name is displayed only where data for that variable differed by run AND those differences were reported in the source document. Where differences occurred but were not reported, the variable is not listed. Click on variable name to view details.
Predictor
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Intermediate
Response
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