EcoService Models Library (ESML)
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Compare EMs
Which comparison is best for me?EM Variables by Variable Role
One quick way to compare ecological models (EMs) is by comparing their variables. Predictor variables show what kinds of influences a model is able to account for, and what kinds of data it requires. Response variables show what information a model is capable of estimating.
This first comparison shows the names (and units) of each EM’s variables, side-by-side, sorted by variable role. Variable roles in ESML are as follows:
- Predictor Variables
- Time- or Space-Varying Variables
- Constants and Parameters
- Intermediate (Computed) Variables
- Response Variables
- Computed Response Variables
- Measured Response Variables
EM Variables by Category
A second way to use variables to compare EMs is by focusing on the kind of information each variable represents. The top-level categories in the ESML Variable Classification Hierarchy are as follows:
- Policy Regarding Use or Management of Ecosystem Resources
- Land Surface (or Water Body Bed) Cover, Use or Substrate
- Human Demographic Data
- Human-Produced Stressor or Enhancer of Ecosystem Goods and Services Production
- Ecosystem Attributes and Potential Supply of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Non-monetary Indicators of Human Demand, Use or Benefit of Ecosystem Goods and Services
- Monetary Values
Besides understanding model similarities, sorting the variables for each EM by these 7 categories makes it easier to see if the compared models can be linked using similar variables. For example, if one model estimates an ecosystem attribute (in Category 5), such as water clarity, as a response variable, and a second model uses a similar attribute (also in Category 5) as a predictor of recreational use, the two models can potentially be used in tandem. This comparison makes it easier to spot potential model linkages.
All EM Descriptors
This selection allows a more detailed comparison of EMs by model characteristics other than their variables. The 50-or-so EM descriptors for each model are presented, side-by-side, in the following categories:
- EM Identity and Description
- EM Modeling Approach
- EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
- EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
EM Descriptors by Modeling Concepts
This feature guides the user through the use of the following seven concepts for comparing and selecting EMs:
- Conceptual Model
- Modeling Objective
- Modeling Context
- Potential for Model Linkage
- Feasibility of Model Use
- Model Certainty
- Model Structural Information
Though presented separately, these concepts are interdependent, and information presented under one concept may have relevance to other concepts as well.
EM Identity and Description
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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EM Short Name
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Evoland v3.5 (bounded growth), Eugene, OR, USA | RHyME2, Upper Mississippi River basin, USA | i-Tree Hydro v4.0 | EPA H2O, Tampa Bay Region, FL,USA |
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EM Full Name
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Evoland v3.5 (with urban growth boundaries), Eugene, OR, USA | RHyME2 (Regional Hydrologic Modeling for Environmental Evaluation), Upper Mississippi River basin, USA | i-Tree Hydro v4.0 (default data option) | EPA H2O, Tampa Bay Region, FL, USA |
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EM Source or Collection
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Envision | US EPA | i-Tree | USDA Forest Service | US EPA |
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EM Source Document ID
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47 ?Comment:Doc 183 is a secondary source for the Evoland model. |
123 | 198 | 321 |
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Document Author
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Guzy, M. R., Smith, C. L. , Bolte, J. P., Hulse, D. W. and Gregory, S. V. | Tran, L. T., O’Neill, R. V., Smith, E. R., Bruins, R. J. F. and Harden, C. | USDA Forest Service | Ranade, P., Soter, G., Russell, M., Harvey, J., and K. Murphy |
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Document Year
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2008 | 2013 | Not Reported | 2015 |
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Document Title
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Policy research using agent-based modeling to assess future impacts of urban expansion into farmlands and forests | Application of hierarchy theory to cross-scale hydrologic modeling of nutrient loads | i-Tree Hydro User's Manual v. 4.0 | EPA H20 User Manual |
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Document Status
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Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published | Peer reviewed and published |
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Comments on Status
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Published journal manuscript | Published journal manuscript | Webpage | Published EPA report |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
http://evoland.bioe.orst.edu/ ?Comment:Software is likely available. |
Not applicable | http://www.itreetools.org | http://www.epa.gov/ged/tbes/EPAH2O | |
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Contact Name
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Michael R. Guzy | Liem Tran | Not applicable | Marc J. Russell, Ph.D. |
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Contact Address
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Oregon State University, Dept. of Biological and Ecological Engineering | Department of Geography, University of Tennessee, 1000 Phillip Fulmer Way, Knoxville, TN 37996-0925, USA | Not applicable | USEPA GED, One Sabine Island Dr., Gulf Breeze, FL 32561 |
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Contact Email
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Not reported | ltran1@utk.edu | Not applicable | russell.marc@epa.gov |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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Summary Description
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**Note: A more recent version of this model exists. See Related EMs below for links to related models/applications.** ABSTRACT: "Spatially explicit agent-based models can represent the changes in resilience and ecological services that result from different land-use policies…This type of analysis generates ensembles of alternate plausible representations of future system conditions. User expertise steers interactive, stepwise system exploration toward inductive reasoning about potential changes to the system. In this study, we develop understanding of the potential alternative futures for a social-ecological system by way of successive simulations that test variations in the types and numbers of policies. The model addresses the agricultural-urban interface and the preservation of ecosystem services. The landscape analyzed is at the junction of the McKenzie and Willamette Rivers adjacent to the cities of Eugene and Springfield in Lane County, Oregon." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "Two general scenarios for urban expansion were created to set the bounds on what might be possible for the McKenzie-Willamette study area. One scenario, fish conservation, tried to accommodate urban expansion, but gave the most weight to policies that would produce resilience and ecosystem services to restore threatened fish populations. The other scenario, unconstrained development, reversed the weighting. The 35 policies in the fish conservation scenario are designed to maintain urban growth boundaries (UGB), accommodate human population growth through increased urban densities, promote land conservation through best-conservation practices on agricultural and forest lands, and make rural land-use conversions that benefit fish. In the unconstrained development scenario, 13 policies are mainly concerned with allowing urban expansion in locations desired by landowners. Urban expansion in this scenario was not constrained by the extent of the UGB, and the policies are not intended to create conservation land uses." | ABSTRACT: "We describe a framework called Regional Hydrologic Modeling for Environmental Evaluation (RHyME2) for hydrologic modeling across scales. Rooted from hierarchy theory, RHyME2 acknowledges the rate-based hierarchical structure of hydrological systems. Operationally, hierarchical constraints are accounted for and explicitly described in models put together into RHyME2. We illustrate RHyME2with a two-module model to quantify annual nutrient loads in stream networks and watersheds at regional and subregional levels. High values of R2 (>0.95) and the Nash–Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (>0.85) and a systematic connection between the two modules show that the hierarchy theory-based RHyME2 framework can be used effectively for developing and connecting hydrologic models to analyze the dynamics of hydrologic systems." Two EMs will be entered in EPF-Library: 1. Regional scale module (Upper Mississippi River Basin) - this entry 2. Subregional scale module (St. Croix River Basin) | ABSTRACT: "i-Tree Hydro is the first urban hydrology model that is specifically designed to model vegetation effects and to be calibrated against measured stream flow data. It is designed to model the effects of changes in urban tree cover and impervious surfaces on hourly stream flows and water quality at the watershed level." AUTHOR'S DESCRIPTION: "The purpose of i-Tree Hydro is to simulate hourly changes in stream flow (and water quality) given changes in tree and impervious cover in the watershed. The following is an overview of the process: 1) Determine your watershed of analysis and stream gauge station. i-Tree Hydro works on a watershed basis with the watershed determined as the total drainage area upstream from a measured stream gauge. Stream gauge availability varies. 2) Download national digital elevation data. Once the area and location of the watershed are known, digital elevation data are downloaded from the USGS for an area that encompasses the entire watershed. ArcGIS software is then used to create a digital elevation map and to determine the exact boundary for the watershed upstream from the gauge station location. 3) Determine cover attributes of the watershed and gather other required data. i-Tree Canopy and other sources can be used to determine the tree cover, shrub cover, impervious surface and other cover types. Information about other aspects of the watershed such as proportion of evergreen trees and shrubs, leaf area index, and a variety of hydrologic parameters must be collected. 4) Get started with Hydro. Once these input data are ready, they are loaded into Hydro to begin analysis. 5) Calibrate the model. The Hydro model contains an auto-calibration routine that tries to find the best fit between the stream flow predicted by the model and the stream flow measured at the stream gauge station given the various inputs. The model can also be manually calibrated to improve the fit by changing the parameters as needed. 6) Model new scenarios: Once the model is properly calibrated, tree and impervious cover parameters can be changed to illustrate the impact on stream flow and water quality." | AUTHORS DESCRIPTION: "EPA H2O is a GIS based demonstration tool for assessing ecosystem goods and services (EGS). It was developed as a preliminary assessment tool in support of research being conducted in the Tampa Bay watershed. It provides information, data, approaches and guidance that communities can use to examine alternative land use scenarios in the context of nature’s benefits to the human community. . . EPA H2O allows users for the Tampa Bay estuary and its watershed to: • Gain a greater understanding of the significance of EGS, • Explore the spatial distribution of EGS and other ecosystem features, • Obtain map and summary statistics of EGS production's potential value, • Analyze and compare potential impacts from predicted development scenarios or user specified changes in land use patterns on EGS production's potential value EPA H2O is designed for analyzing data at neighborhood to regional scales.. . The tool is transportable to other locations if the required data are available. . . . |
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Specific Policy or Decision Context Cited
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Authors Description: " By policy, we mean land management options that span the domains of zoning, agricultural and forest production, environmental protection, and urban development, including the associated regulations, laws, and practices. The policies we used in our SES simulations include urban containment policies…We also used policies modeled on agricultural practices that affect ecoystem services and capital…" | Not reported | None identified | None reported |
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Biophysical Context
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No additional description provided | No additional description provided | No additional description provided | Not applicable |
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EM Scenario Drivers
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Five scenarios that include urban growth boundaries and various combinations of unconstrainted development, fish conservation, agriculture and forest reserves. ?Comment:Additional alternatives included adding agricultural and forest reserves, and adding or removing urban growth boundaries to the three main scenarios. |
No scenarios presented | No scenarios presented | Land Use, EGS algorithm values, |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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Method Only, Application of Method or Model Run
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Method + Application (multiple runs exist) View EM Runs | Method + Application | Method Only | Method + Application |
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New or Pre-existing EM?
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New or revised model | New or revised model | New or revised model | New or revised model |
Related EMs (for example, other versions or derivations of this EM) described in ESML
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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Document ID for related EM
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Doc-47 | Doc-313 | Doc-314 ?Comment:Doc 183 is a secondary source for the Evoland model. |
Doc-123 | Doc-190 | Doc-223 | None |
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EM ID for related EM
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EM-333 | EM-369 | None | EM-109 | EM-142 | EM-51 | None |
EM Modeling Approach
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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EM Temporal Extent
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1990-2050 | 1987-1997 | Not applicable | Not applicable |
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EM Time Dependence
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time-dependent | time-stationary | time-dependent | time-stationary |
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EM Time Reference (Future/Past)
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future time | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
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EM Time Continuity
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discrete | Not applicable | discrete | Not applicable |
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EM Temporal Grain Size Value
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2 | Not applicable | 1 | Not applicable |
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EM Temporal Grain Size Unit
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Year | Not applicable | Hour | Not applicable |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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Bounding Type
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Geopolitical | Watershed/Catchment/HUC | Not applicable |
Geopolitical ?Comment:Extent was Tampa Bay area in example, but boundary can be geopolitical or watershed derived. |
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Spatial Extent Name
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Junction of McKenzie and Willamette Rivers, adjacent to the cities of Eugene and Springfield, Lane Co., Oregon, USA | Upper Mississippi River basin; St. Croix River Watershed | Not applicable | Tampa Bay region |
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Spatial Extent Area (Magnitude)
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10-100 km^2 | 100,000-1,000,000 km^2 | Not applicable | 1000-10,000 km^2. |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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EM Spatial Distribution
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spatially distributed (in at least some cases) ?Comment:Spatial grain for computations is comprised of 16,005 polygons of various size covering 7091 ha. |
spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) | spatially distributed (in at least some cases) |
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Spatial Grain Type
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area, for pixel or radial feature | NHDplus v1 | area, for pixel or radial feature | area, for pixel or radial feature |
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Spatial Grain Size
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varies | NHDplus v1 | 30 x 30 m | 30m x 30m |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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EM Computational Approach
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Numeric | Numeric | Numeric | Analytic |
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EM Determinism
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stochastic | deterministic | deterministic | deterministic |
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Statistical Estimation of EM
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Comment:Agent based modeling results in response indices. |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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Model Calibration Reported?
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Unclear | Yes | Not applicable | No |
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Model Goodness of Fit Reported?
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No | Yes | Not applicable | No |
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Goodness of Fit (metric| value | unit)
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None |
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None | None |
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Model Operational Validation Reported?
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No | No | Not applicable | No |
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Model Uncertainty Analysis Reported?
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No | No | Not applicable | No |
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Model Sensitivity Analysis Reported?
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No ?Comment:Sensitivity analysis performed for agent values only. |
No ?Comment:Some model coefficients serve, by their magnitude, to indicate the proportional impact on the final result of variation in the parameters they modify. |
Not applicable | No |
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Model Sensitivity Analysis Include Interactions?
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable | Not applicable |
EM Locations, Environments, Ecology
Terrestrial location (Classification hierarchy: Continent > Country > U.S. State [United States only])
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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None |
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Marine location (Classification hierarchy: Realm > Region > Province > Ecoregion)
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
| None | None | None | None |
Centroid Lat/Long (Decimal Degree)
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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Centroid Latitude
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44.11 | 42.5 | -9999 | 28.05 |
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Centroid Longitude
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-123.09 | -90.63 | -9999 | -82.52 |
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Centroid Datum
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WGS84 | WGS84 | Not applicable | WGS84 |
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Centroid Coordinates Status
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Estimated | Estimated | Not applicable | Estimated |
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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EM Environmental Sub-Class
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Rivers and Streams | Forests | Agroecosystems | Created Greenspace | Aquatic Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Rivers and Streams | Inland Wetlands | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) | Agroecosystems | Atmosphere | Rivers and Streams | Ground Water | Created Greenspace | Terrestrial Environment (sub-classes not fully specified) |
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Specific Environment Type
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Agricultural-urban interface at river junction | None | Urban watersheds | All terestrial landcover and waterbodies |
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EM Ecological Scale
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Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecosystem | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class | Ecological scale is finer than that of the Environmental Sub-class |
Scale of differentiation of organisms modeled
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EM ID
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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EM Organismal Scale
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Not applicable | Not applicable | Community | Not applicable |
Taxonomic level and name of organisms or groups identified
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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None Available | None Available | None Available |
EnviroAtlas URL
EM Ecosystem Goods and Services (EGS) potentially modeled, by classification system
CICES v 4.3 - Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services (Section > Division > Group > Class)
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="https://www.epa.gov/eco-research/national-ecosystem-services-classification-system-nescs-plus">National Ecosystem Services Classification System (NESCS) Plus</a>
(Environmental Subclass > Ecological End-Product (EEP) > EEP Subclass > EEP Modifier)
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EM-12 |
EM-91 | EM-137 | EM-392 |
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None |
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